Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles Betting Pick & Prediction 2/9/25

The Chiefs are favored on the money line at -119 as they face the Eagles at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA. This neutral-site game is being played on Sunday, February 9th at 6:30 ET, with the Eagles as the nominal home team. There is no television coverage for this one, with the Chiefs also favored by -1 point and the over/under line set at 48.5 points.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS PHILADELPHIA EAGLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -1

This game will be played at Caesars Superdome at 6:30 ET on Sunday, February 9th.

WHY BET THE KANSAS CITY CHIEFS:

  • We have the Chiefs winning this one by a score of 24 to 18
  • Not only do we have the Chiefs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 48.5 points

Can The Chiefs Pick Up A Win At Caesars Superdome?

The Chiefs are 15-2 this season, putting them first in the AFC and our power rankings. They went 5-1 in the division and are 10-0 at home. On the road, they are 7-2, including a 38-0 loss to the Broncos in week 18. KC bounced back with playoff wins over the Texans and Bills, including a 32-29 win over Buffalo in the AFC Championship.

Kansas City has a +3.7 scoring margin and is 8-10-1 against the spread. They are 7-8-1 as favorites and 1-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 8-11, with their games averaging 42.6 points compared to a 44.2-point line.

Patrick Mahomes bounced back in the AFC Championship, posting a passer rating of 111 with 245 yards and a touchdown on 18/26 passing, after a 177-yard performance in the Divisional Round. Kansas City scored 14 points in the 2nd quarter and 11 in the 4th against Buffalo. Xavier Worthy led the team with 6 catches for 85 yards, while Kareem Hunt rushed for 64 yards on 17 carries.

The Chiefs rank 8th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 23.2 points per game, which is 12th in the NFL. They are 19th in total yards per game (323.7) and 16th in passing yards (219.7). On 3rd down, they have been strong, converting 48.5% of their attempts, which ranks 2nd in the league.

The Chiefs’ defense gave up 147 rushing yards on 32 attempts in their 32-29 win over the Bills, but Buffalo managed just a 35.7% success rate on third down. The Chiefs allowed 227 passing yards, with Buffalo completing 64.7% of their passes, and two passing touchdowns. Kansas City’s defense recorded two sacks and won the quarterback hit battle by one.

Can The Eagles Take Care Of Business On A Neutral Field?

After finishing the regular season 14-3, the Eagles have won two straight, including a 55-23 victory over the Commanders in the conference championship. Philadelphia easily covered the 6-point spread, and the 78 combined points went over the 47-point line. In the divisional round, they edged the Rams 28-22 but didn’t cover the 7-point spread. The 50 points in that game went over the 43.5-point line.

Heading into the Super Bowl, the Eagles rank 5th in our power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +10.5 points and are 13-7 against the spread. They are 10-7 as favorites and 3-0 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 9-11, with their games averaging 46.3 points compared to an average line of 45.

Philadelphia’s offense is ranked 4th in our power rankings, and they are 6th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 28.4. They are 7th in the league in yards per game, with 367, and they have leaned heavily on their rushing attack, ranking 1st in rushing attempts and 2nd in rushing yards per game (186.6). On the other hand, they rank 31st in both passing attempts and passing yards per game (180.5). On 3rd down, they are 10th in the NFL, converting 41.7% of their attempts, and they rank 26th in red zone conversion percentage.

Jalen Hurts threw for 246 yards (20/28) and a touchdown in the NFC Championship Game, posting a passer rating of 110. Saquon Barkley had a big game, rushing for 118 yards and 3 touchdowns on 15 carries, while A.J. Brown led the team with 96 receiving yards on 6 catches. The Eagles scored 21 points in the 4th quarter and converted all 7 of their red zone attempts after struggling in that area in previous games.

In their 55-23 win over Washington, the Eagles’ defense gave up 350 yards but still came out on top. They allowed 251 passing yards, with Washington completing 30 passes and scoring one passing touchdown. Philadelphia defended the run well, giving up just 99 yards on 25 attempts (4.0 yards per attempt) and came away with one interception.

On third downs, the Eagles allowed Washington to convert 41.2% of their chances. Philadelphia also managed three sacks and had a +1 advantage in the QB hit battle.