Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens Betting Pick & Prediction 1/11/25

The Ravens are heavily favored at -530 on the money line as they face the Steelers in an AFC North playoff matchup. The game, which kicks off at 8:00 ET on Saturday, January 11th, is being televised by AMZN. The Ravens are -9.5 point favorites, with the over/under line set at 45.5 points.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS VS BALTIMORE RAVENS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Ravens -9.5

This game will be played at M&T Bank Stadium at 8:00 ET on Saturday, January 11th.

WHY BET THE BALTIMORE RAVENS:

• We have the Ravens winning this one by a score of 28 to 17
• Not only do we have the Ravens winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -9.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 45.5 points

Will The Steelers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

After ending the regular season with four straight losses, the Steelers bounced back in week 1, defeating the Falcons 18-10. Pittsburgh entered the game as 4-point underdogs but managed to cover the spread with an 8-point win. The combined scoring of 28 points fell short of the 43-point line, marking the second straight under for the Steelers.

Pittsburgh finished the regular season with a 10-7 record, placing them 6th in our power rankings. Against the spread, they went 11-6, with a +1.9 average scoring margin. Their O/U record was 8-9, with their games averaging 42.8 points compared to a 42-point line.

Heading into the Wild Card round, the Steelers rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 15th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 22.4 points per game, and sit 23rd in total yards per game with 319.4. Pittsburgh leans heavily on the run game, ranking 4th in rushing attempts and 11th in rushing yards per game. Najee Harris, who is questionable with a concussion, has rushed for 1,043 yards and 6 touchdowns this season.

In the passing game, the Steelers rank 27th in passing yards per game and 25th in attempts. Justin Fields threw for 245 yards (25/32) with 1 touchdown and 1 interception in week 3. Calvin Austin III led the team with 95 receiving yards on 4 catches, including a touchdown.

In the Steelers’ 19-17 loss to the Bengals, they gave up 314 yards and 37 completions in the passing game. Despite this, they did manage to sack the quarterback four times and came away with one interception. The Bengals completed 80.4% of their passes and had a tough time on third down, converting just 38.5% of their chances.

Pittsburgh’s run defense was solid, allowing only 68 yards on 21 attempts (3.2 yards per attempt). However, the Bengals were able to move the ball effectively through the air, finishing with 246 passing yards and a key touchdown late in the game.

Are The Ravens Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Heading into the playoffs, the Ravens hold the top spot in the AFC North with a 12-5 record, including a 4-game winning streak. They bounced back from two straight losses to start the season by defeating the Cowboys, Bills, Bengals, and Steelers. In week 16, they beat Pittsburgh 34-17, covering the 7-point spread. They also covered in week 15, beating the Giants by 21 points as 16.5-point favorites.

Baltimore ranks 2nd in our power rankings and has an average scoring margin of +9.2 points per game. They are 10-6-1 against the spread and have covered in four straight games. Their O/U record is 13-4, with their games averaging 51.7 points compared to an average line of 47.3.

Heading into the Wild Card round, the Ravens are 3rd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 30.5. They also lead the league in yards per game with 424.9. Baltimore has leaned heavily on their rushing attack, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 1st in rushing yards per game (187.6). On 3rd down, they rank 3rd in the NFL with a 48.2% conversion rate.

Lamar Jackson posted a passer rating of 139 in his last game, going 12/15 for 182 yards and a touchdown in week 3 against the Cowboys. Derrick Henry rushed for 151 yards and 2 touchdowns on 25 carries, while Nelson Agholor led the team in receiving with 56 yards on 1 catch.

In their 35-10 win over the Browns, the Ravens’ defense allowed just 56 rushing yards on 19 attempts. They picked off two passes, limited Cleveland to 52.9% completions, and held them to 33.3% on third down. The Ravens gave up one passing touchdown and allowed the Browns to finish with 174 passing yards.

Baltimore’s defense also recorded two sacks and held the Browns to 10 points. They were tough to run against, giving up only 2.9 yards per attempt and forcing Cleveland to become one-dimensional on offense.