Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Betting Pick & Prediction 1/4/25

At 8:30 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-138) will host the Memphis Grizzlies (+117) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line for this game is 234.5 points.
This game will be played at the Chase Center in San Francisco and can be seen on NBCS.
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +2.5
This game will be played at Chase Center at 8:30 ET on Saturday, January 4th.
WHY BET THE MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-97 in favor of the Grizzlies.
- Our projections have Jaren Jackson Jr. finishing with 23 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists.
- From the field, we have the Grizzlies finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.6% and knocking down 13 threes.
Can the Grizzlies Grab a Win in San Francisco?
The Grizzlies fell to 23-12 on the season after a 138-133 road loss to the Kings on Friday. Memphis entered the game as +3 point underdogs but failed to cover the spread. The game’s total of 271 points exceeded the O/U line of 242.5 by 28.5 points.
After a rough start, where the Kings went on a 10-0 run, Memphis fought back by winning the 2nd and 3rd quarters. They trailed 102-100 going into the 4th but couldn’t complete the comeback, as the Kings outscored them 36-33 in the final period.
In their 138-133 loss to the Kings, the Grizzlies hit 17 threes at a 45.9% clip, finishing with a 48.3% overall shooting percentage. Jaylen Wells led the way, knocking down 8 threes at 88.9% and finishing with 30 points, including 11 in the 3rd quarter.
Jaren Jackson added 28 points, with 11 coming in the 4th quarter, while Desmond Bane contributed 22 points. Scotty Pippen chipped in 16 points, scoring 9 in the opening quarter.
Defensively, the Grizzlies struggled in their game against the Kings, giving up 138 points, including a 46-point 1st quarter. They managed to tighten things up in the 3rd, allowing just 24 points, but Sacramento still scored 36 in the 4th.
Memphis allowed the Kings to shoot 49% from the field and 44% from three, with Sacramento hitting 21 threes. The Grizzlies sent the Kings to the line 23 times, where they made 19 free throws. Memphis recorded 37 defensive rebounds, gave up 10 offensive boards, and finished with 5 steals and 4 blocks.
Will the Warriors Defense Show Up at Home?
The Warriors improved to 17-16 on the season with a dominant 139-105 win over the 76ers on Thursday. Playing at home, Golden State entered the game as 4-point favorites and covered the spread with ease. The total points for the game reached 244, surpassing the over/under line of 219.5 by 24.5 points.
Golden State set the tone early, jumping out to a 35-19 lead after the 1st quarter. The 2nd quarter was more balanced, with both teams scoring 33 points. However, the Warriors pulled away in the 3rd, outscoring the 76ers 35-26, and continued their dominance in the 4th, winning the quarter 36-27.
The Warriors’ offense was firing on all cylinders in their 139-105 win over the 76ers, shooting 60.9% from the field and hitting 22 threes at a 56.4% clip. Stephen Curry led the way, making all 8 of his threes and finishing with 30 points and 10 assists, with 13 of his points coming in the 3rd quarter.
Jonathan Kuminga added 20 points, scoring 7 in both the 1st and 4th quarters. Draymond Green, Dennis Schröder, and Andrew Wiggins each contributed 15 points, with Schröder scoring 9 in the opening period.
The Warriors’ defense was solid in their win over the 76ers, allowing just 105 points. They started strong, giving up only 19 points in the 1st quarter, but had a rough 2nd, allowing 33. However, they tightened up in the 3rd and 4th, giving up 26 and 27 points, respectively.
Golden State held Philadelphia to 42% shooting, including just 9 made threes on 29% shooting from deep. The 76ers went to the line 34 times, making 28 free throws. The Warriors also recorded 38 defensive rebounds, gave up 6 offensive boards, and added 5 steals and 8 blocks.