Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders Betting Pick & Prediction 1/5/25

With the Chargers favored on the road, the money line odds are -232 for them and +193 for the Raiders. The Chargers are -5 point favorites and the over/under line is sitting at 41 points. This week 18 AFC West matchup is set for 4:25 ET on Sunday, January 5th at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas and will be televised on CBS.

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS VS LAS VEGAS RAIDERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Los Angeles Chargers -5

This game will be played at Allegiant Stadium at 4:25 ET on Sunday, January 5th.

WHY BET THE LOS ANGELES CHARGERS:

• We have the Chargers winning this one by a score of 27 to 20
• Not only do we have the Chargers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 41 points

Will The Chargers Win As Road Favorites?

Heading into week 18, the Chargers have a 10-6 record and a two-game winning streak, including a 33-point win over the Patriots in week 17. This win secured their playoff spot, but they can’t win the AFC West. Los Angeles is 5-3 both at home and on the road, and they are 3-2 in division games.

According to our power rankings, the Chargers are 10th in the league. They have a +5.4 scoring margin and are 11-4-1 against the spread, including two straight wins. Their O/U record is 7-9, with the over hitting in three consecutive games.

Heading into week 18, the Chargers sit 11th in our offensive power rankings. They’re 12th in the NFL in points per game (23) and 23rd in yards per game (314.9). Justin Herbert threw for 281 yards (26/38) and 3 touchdowns in week 17, posting a passer rating of 116. Ladd McConkey led the team with 8 catches for 94 yards and 2 touchdowns, while J.K. Dobbins rushed for 76 yards on 19 carries.

On 3rd down, the Chargers rank 13th in the NFL with a conversion rate of 39.6%, and they’re 10th in red zone conversion percentage. They’ve been strong in the 1st quarter, averaging 5.2 points, which ranks 8th in the league. However, they’ll be monitoring Joshua Palmer’s heel injury as he’s questionable for week 18.

In their most recent game, the Chargers’ defense was dominant, allowing just 85 passing yards and 181 total yards in a 40-7 win over the Patriots. They held New England to 20 rushing attempts and 96 yards on the ground. The Chargers’ secondary gave up just 13 completions and allowed a completion percentage of 54.2%.

Additionally, the Chargers’ defense excelled on third downs, allowing only a 20% conversion rate, and they recorded four sacks and six tackles for loss. Despite giving up one passing touchdown, their performance was still very impressive.

Are The Raiders Going Win In At Upset At Allegiant Stadium

With two straight wins, the Raiders have improved to 4-12 on the season. After a week 15 loss to the Falcons, Las Vegas bounced back with victories over the Jaguars (19-14) and Saints (25-10) in weeks 16 and 17, respectively. Despite this, the Raiders remain 4th in the AFC West and have a -6.9 scoring margin. They are 7-8-1 against the spread this season, including two consecutive ATS wins.

Heading into week 18, the Raiders rank 22nd in our NFL power rankings and have been eliminated from playoff contention. Their O/U record stands at 8-8, with the under hitting in five straight games.

Heading into week 18, the Raiders rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They are 25th in the NFL in both points per game (18.1) and yards per game (305.6). Despite ranking 4th in passing attempts per game (37.4), they are 13th in passing yards, averaging 223.2 per game. On the ground, they rank 24th in rushing attempts and are last in the league in rushing yards per game, with 82.4. Las Vegas ranks 25th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage (35.3%) but is 5th in red zone conversion percentage.

Aidan O’Connell has been under center for the Raiders the last two weeks, throwing for 242 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 17, with a passer rating of 97. In week 16, he threw for 257 yards without a touchdown or interception. Against the Saints in week 17, Las Vegas converted 10 of 18 3rd-down attempts and scored 25 points, with 9 coming in the 4th quarter.

In their 25-10 win over the Saints, the Raiders’ defense was outstanding, allowing just a 10% conversion rate on third down. They picked off two passes, held the Saints to 188 passing yards, and limited them to 55.6% completions. The Raiders’ pass rush was effective, with four sacks and five more quarterback hits than the Saints.

Despite giving up 81 rushing yards on just 13 attempts, the Raiders were able to limit the Saints to 269 total yards in the game.