Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans Betting Pick & Prediction 1/5/25

The Titans are the slight favorite in this one, with their money line at -112 and the Texans’ at -108. The Texans and Titans will face off on Sunday, January 5th at 1:00 ET on CBS. The Titans are the underdog at +1, and the current over/under line is 38.5 points. This AFC South matchup is being played at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN.

HOUSTON TEXANS VS TENNESSEE TITANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Texans -1

This game will be played at Nissan Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, January 5th.

WHY BET THE HOUSTON TEXANS:

• We have the Texans winning this one by a score of 24 to 21
• Not only do we have the Texans winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1
• Look for this game to go over the line of 38.5 points

Will The Texans Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Despite a two-game losing streak, the Texans still hold a 9-7 record and sit atop the AFC South. Our projections give them a 100% chance of making the playoffs and winning the division. Heading into week 18, they rank 16th in our NFL power rankings.

Houston has an average scoring margin of -0.6 points per game and is 6-9-1 against the spread. They are 4-6-1 ATS as favorites and 2-3 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 5-10-1, with their games averaging 44.2 points compared to a 45-point line.

Heading into week 18, the Texans are 22nd in our offensive power rankings, averaging 21.8 points per game, which ranks 17th in the NFL. They are 21st in the league in passing yards per game (209.9) and 19th in passing attempts, with 33.9 per game. Houston ranks 19th in rushing attempts and 21st in rushing yards per game, averaging 106.4 yards on the ground. The Texans are 18th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 11th in red zone attempts, converting 22.6% of their trips inside the 20-yard line.

In week 17, the Texans struggled offensively, scoring just 2 points in a 31-2 loss to the Ravens. C.J. Stroud threw for 185 yards on 17/31 passing, with 1 interception and no touchdowns. He was sacked 5 times. Joe Mixon led the team in rushing with 26 yards on 9 carries, while Nico Collins had 3 catches for 59 yards.

In their most recent game, the Texans’ defense gave up 251 rushing yards to the Ravens, contributing to a tough 31-2 loss. The Texans allowed Baltimore to run for 5.8 yards per attempt and 432 total yards. Despite giving up only 181 passing yards, the Texans allowed two passing touchdowns and 11 completions. Houston’s defense struggled on third downs, allowing the Ravens to convert 44.4% of their attempts. The Texans only managed one sack and had a negative quarterback hit differential.

Will The Titans Win At Home Over The Texans?

The Titans have dropped five straight games, including a 20-13 loss to the Jaguars in week 17. This puts Tennessee at 3-13, leaving them 4th in the AFC South. Their playoff chances are now at 0.0%.

Heading into week 18, the Titans rank 24th in our NFL power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of -8.8 points per game and are 2-14 against the spread. Their O/U record is 9-6-1, with their games averaging 45.9 points per game.

Heading into week 18, the Titans rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 24th in the NFL in points per game (18.6) and 28th in passing yards per game (193), despite ranking 21st in pass attempts. Tennessee averages 303.6 total yards per game, which is also 28th in the league. On the ground, they are 15th in rushing yards per game (110.6) on 26.1 attempts per game.

Mason Rudolph threw for 193 yards (19/31) with one touchdown and one interception in week 17 against the Jaguars. Tyjae Spears led the team with 95 rushing yards on 20 carries, while Calvin Ridley had 5 catches for 84 yards. The Titans scored 7 points in the 3rd quarter and 3 in the 4th, after being shut out in the 1st quarter.

In their 20-13 loss to the Jaguars, the Titans’ defense allowed two passing touchdowns and struggled on third downs, allowing Jacksonville to convert 61.5% of their third down attempts. The Titans gave up 173 passing yards on 15 completions and allowed the Jaguars to complete 68.2% of their passes. They also struggled to stop the run, giving up 122 yards on 33 attempts.

Tennessee’s defense did manage two sacks in the game but lost the battle in quarterback hits and tackles for loss. This was a tough loss for the Titans, as they held the Jaguars to just 295 total yards but still came up short.