Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders Betting Pick & Prediction 12/22/24

On FOX at 1:00 ET, the Eagles and Commanders will face off in a week 16 NFC East matchup. The Eagles are favored on the road with money line odds of -176 and -3.5 point spreads. The Commanders, playing at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD, are the +147 money line underdogs. The over/under line is at 45.5 points for this game.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES VS WASHINGTON COMMANDERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Commanders +3.5

This game will be played at Northwest Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 22nd.

WHY BET THE WASHINGTON COMMANDERS:

• We have the Commanders winning this one by a score of 23 to 16
• Not only do we have the Commanders winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 45.5 points

Will The Eagles Win As Road Favorites?

With a 12-2 record, the Eagles sit atop the NFC East and have a 99.5% chance of winning the division, according to our projections. Philadelphia is currently on a 10-game winning streak, which includes a 27-13 victory over the Steelers in week 15. The Eagles were favored by 5.5 points in that matchup and covered the spread, improving their ATS record to 9-5 this season.

Philadelphia ranks 5th in our NFL power rankings and has a +8.7 scoring margin this season. Their O/U record is 5-9, with the under hitting in each of their last three games. The Eagles’ games have averaged 44 points this season, compared to an average line of 46.

Heading into week 16, the Eagles rank 4th in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in rushing attempts (36.8) and rushing yards (186.2) per game. On the passing side, they rank 30th in attempts and 28th in yards, averaging 187 per game. Philadelphia is 8th in the NFL in points per game (26.4) and 6th in yards per game (373.2).

Jalen Hurts has been playing well, posting a passer rating of 125 in week 15, with 290 yards and 2 touchdowns on 25 of 32 passing. A.J. Brown had 8 catches for 110 yards and a touchdown, while Saquon Barkley rushed for 65 yards on 19 carries. The Eagles converted 10 of 17 third downs and scored on 3 of 6 red zone trips against the Steelers.

In their 27-13 win over the Steelers, the Eagles’ defense was tough to move the ball against, allowing just 107 yards through the air. They also held Pittsburgh to 56 yards rushing on 17 attempts. The Eagles defended 63.6% of passes and allowed just 2 sacks in the game. Philadelphia gave up one touchdown and held the Steelers to a 30% conversion rate on third down.

Philadelphia’s defense also had two sacks in the game and limited the Steelers to 163 total yards. The Eagles did lose the tackles for loss and QB hit differentials by a slim margin.

Are The Commanders Going Win In At Upset At Northwest Stadium

Washington snapped a three-game losing streak with back-to-back wins, improving their record to 9-5. After a 23-point win over the Titans in week 13, the Commanders narrowly defeated the Saints in week 15, winning 20-19. Despite being 7.5-point favorites, they couldn’t cover the spread. The O/U line was 44.5, and the teams combined for 39 points.

Heading into week 16, Washington is 10th in our power rankings and has an 86.7% chance of making the playoffs. They are 8-5-1 ATS, with a +5.8 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 9-5, with their games averaging 50.8 points (O/U line: 46).

Heading into week 16, the Commanders are 5th in our offensive power rankings. They are 6th in the NFL in points per game (28.3) and 5th in yards per game (373.9). Despite ranking 24th in passing attempts, they are 16th in passing yards, averaging 218.4 per game. Washington leans on the run game, ranking 3rd in both rushing attempts and yards per game (155.5).

Jayden Daniels has been efficient, posting a passer rating of 118 in week 15, with 226 yards and 2 touchdowns on 25/31 passing. Terry McLaurin had 7 catches for 73 yards and 2 touchdowns in that game. However, the Commanders’ offensive line struggled, allowing 8 sacks against the Saints.

Washington’s defense came up with a key interception in their 20-19 win over the Saints, despite giving up two passing touchdowns. They held New Orleans to just 15 completions for 176 yards passing, and the Saints managed to convert only 27.3% of their third down attempts. The Commanders’ defense really limited the Saints’ rushing attack, as New Orleans had just 16 attempts for 69 yards.

Even though they allowed 245 total yards, Washington’s defense made life difficult for the Saints, allowing them to complete just 46.9% of their passes. They also recorded three sacks and came away with one interception.