California Baptist Lancers vs San Diego State Aztecs NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 12/11/24

Planning on watching today’s Lancers and Aztecs game? Catch the action at Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA, as the Aztecs hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 135.5 points, with San Diego State being favored by -15 over California Baptist.

CALIFORNIA BAPTIST LANCERS VS SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS BETTING PICK

The Pick: California Baptist Lancers +15

This game will be played at Viejas Arena at 10:00 ET on Wednesday, December 11th.

WHY BET THE CALIFORNIA BAPTIST LANCERS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-69 in favor of the Aztecs.
• Even though we have San Diego State winning straight-up, we like California Baptist at +15.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 135.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.

Can California Baptist Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?

California Baptist fell to 5-4 on the season after a 74-59 road loss to UCF on Sunday. The Lancers entered the game as +10.5 point underdogs and didn’t cover the spread.

Trailing 32-29 at halftime, the Lancers were outscored 42-30 in the second half. The game’s total points of 133 fell short of the 149.5 O/U line.

California Baptist struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 35.1% from the field and 28.6% from three-point range. They managed only 6 assists as a team, but did hit all 13 of their free throw attempts.

Dominique Daniels Jr. was a bright spot, scoring 33 points on 11-25 shooting, including 3-7 from beyond the arc. Keyshawn Hall added 15 points, hitting 2 of 3 from deep.

California Baptist gave up 74 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 45% from the field on 24 of 53 attempts. Inside the arc, the Lancers allowed 16 two-point baskets on 32 tries, a 50% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, the Lancers’ defense saw the other team hit 8 of 21 three-point attempts, good for 38%. California Baptist also sent the opposition to the free-throw line 26 times, where they converted 18 shots, a 69% success rate. The Lancers allowed 7 offensive rebounds.

Pressure Builds for San Diego State as Home Favorites

San Diego State improved to 5-2 on the season with a 74-57 win over San Diego on Saturday. The Aztecs were -24.5 favorites heading into the game but didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game came in at 131, falling short of the 140-point over/under line.

After leading 33-31 at halftime, the Aztecs clamped down defensively, allowing just 26 points in the second half while scoring 41 of their own to pull away for the win.

San Diego State put up 74 points in their last game, shooting 43.9% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 48.5%, with two-point shooting at 49% (24/49) and three-point shooting at 29.4% (5/17).

Nick Boyd and Bendji Pierre each scored 17 points, with Boyd adding 6 assists. Pierre hit 5 threes, shooting 45.5% from beyond the arc. The Aztecs had 11 offensive rebounds and 13 assists as a team.

San Diego State’s defense held their opponent to 57 points, despite allowing them to shoot 43% from the field. The Aztecs gave up 24 two-point baskets on 49 attempts, a 49% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, San Diego State limited their opponent to 5 made threes on 17 attempts, a 29% shooting performance. They also sent them to the free-throw line 15 times, where they converted 11 shots, or 73%. The Aztecs conceded 11 offensive rebounds.