IU Indy Jaguars vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 12/11/24

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Jaguars versus the Mastodons? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Allen County War Memorial Coliseum in Fort Wayne, IN. The over/under for this game is set at 151 points, and Purdue Fort Wayne is favored by -15 vs. IU Indy in a Horizon League conference matchup.
IU INDY JAGUARS VS PURDUE FORT WAYNE MASTODONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: IU Indy Jaguars +15
This game will be played at Allen County War Memorial Coliseum at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, December 11th.
WHY BET THE IU INDY JAGUARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-71 in favor of the Mastodons.
- Even though we have Purdue Fort Wayne winning straight-up, we like IU Indy at +15.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 151 points, and we like the under with a projected 148 points.
Will the Jaguars Pull Through as the Away Underdog?
The Jaguars fell to 2-6 on the season after a narrow 66-64 loss to Northern Kentucky on Saturday. Despite being +7.5 point underdogs, they kept the game close and covered the spread. The total points for the game ended at 130, which was under the O/U line of 140.5.
IU Indy led 33-29 at halftime but allowed 37 points in the second half while scoring 31. The Jaguars will need to tighten up defensively in the second half of games to turn their season around.
In their last game, the Jaguars put up 64 points, shooting 51.1% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 61.7%. They hit 50% from beyond the arc, connecting on 10 of 20 attempts, while also shooting 51.9% on two-point shots.
Paul Zilinskas led the way with 24 points, knocking down 6 of 9 threes. Jarvis Walker added 23 points, shooting 66.7% overall and from three. Trey Robinson contributed 19 points, hitting 70% of his shots, and Josh Dilling chipped in 17 points, making 5 of 9 from deep.
Despite giving up 66 points, the Jaguars’ defense struggled to contain their opponent, who shot 51% from the field, hitting 24 of 47 attempts. This included a 51% performance on two-point shots, where they connected on 14 of 27 tries.
From beyond the arc, the Jaguars allowed 10 threes on 20 attempts, a 50% shooting rate. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 9 times, where they made 6 shots, a 66% success rate. IU Indy gave up 7 offensive rebounds in the game.
Will the Purdue Fort Wayne Defense Show Up at Home?
The Mastodons improved to 5-4 on the season with an 82-77 win over Robert Morris on Sunday. Playing at home, they were -9.5 point favorites but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 159 exceeded the over/under line of 147.
Purdue Fort Wayne led 39-35 at halftime and scored 43 points in the 2nd half while allowing 42. The Mastodons will look to tighten up defensively in future games.
Purdue Fort Wayne put up 82 points in their last game, shooting 46.4% from the field. They were efficient inside, hitting 55% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from deep, connecting on just 25% of their threes (4/16). At the line, the Mastodons were impressive, making 26 of 30 free throws for an 86.7% rate.
Alvaro Folgueiras led the way with 25 points and 12 rebounds, shooting 8/11 overall and 4/5 from three. Jalen Jackson added 23 points on 6/7 shooting, while Kam Woods contributed 19 points, despite shooting 41.2% from the field and 1/4 from three.
Purdue Fort Wayne’s defense gave up 77 points in their last game, with opponents shooting 46% from the field. They struggled to contain inside scoring, allowing 22 two-point baskets on 40 attempts, a 55% conversion rate.
From beyond the arc, Purdue Fort Wayne held their opponents to 4 made threes on 16 attempts, a 25% shooting performance. However, they sent their opponents to the free-throw line 30 times, where they converted 26 free throws, an 86% success rate.