Tennessee Titans vs Washington Commanders Betting Pick & Prediction 12/1/24

The Commanders are favored at -5.5 as they host the Titans at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD. This week 13 non-conference matchup is set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, with the Commanders at -257 on the money line. The over/under line is 44.5 points, and the game will be televised on CBS.

TENNESSEE TITANS VS WASHINGTON COMMANDERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Commanders -5.5

This game will be played at Northwest Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 1st.

WHY BET THE WASHINGTON COMMANDERS:

• We have the Commanders winning this one by a score of 24 to 18
• Not only do we have the Commanders winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -5.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 44.5 points

Will The Titans Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Following two straight losses, the Titans bounced back in week 12 with a 32-27 win over the Texans, improving their record to 3-8. Tennessee entered the game as 8-point underdogs but managed to cover the spread with the victory. The teams combined for 59 points, going over the 40.5-point line.

Heading into week 13, the Titans rank 26th in our power rankings and have a 1.9% chance of making the playoffs. They are 2-9 against the spread this season and have an average scoring margin of -8 points per game. Their O/U record is 6-4-1, with their games averaging 44.7 points.

Heading into week 13, the Titans rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 26th in the NFL in points per game (18.4) and 25th in yards per game (302.1). Tennessee is 30th in passing yards per game, averaging 183.7 on 30.2 attempts per game. On the ground, they rank 12th in rushing yards per game, with 118.4 on 27.4 attempts per game. The Titans have struggled on third down, converting just 33.1% of their attempts, which ranks 28th in the league. However, they have been strong in the red zone, converting 43.3% of their trips, ranking 5th in the NFL.

Will Levis threw for 278 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 12, completing 18 of 24 passes, but he was sacked 8 times. Tony Pollard led the team in rushing with 119 yards on 24 carries, while Calvin Ridley had 5 catches for 93 yards. Before Ridley’s week 12 performance, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine had 117 receiving yards in week 11, and Ridley had 84 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 10.

In their 32-27 win over the Texans, the Titans’ defense allowed just 40 rushing yards on 17 attempts. They picked off two passes and held Houston to a 23.1% conversion rate on third down. Despite giving up 220 passing yards, Tennessee defended the run well, allowing only 2.4 yards per attempt. The Titans did allow two passing touchdowns and finished with four sacks in the game.

The Titans’ defense limited the Texans to 260 total yards and a 60.6% completion rate. Although they struggled in the trenches, losing the tackle for loss and QB hit differentials, their ability to force turnovers and limit the run game played a key role in the win.

Are The Commanders Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Washington heads into week 13 looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 34-26 home loss to the Cowboys in week 12. The Commanders were 10.5-point favorites in that game but couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 7-5. Despite the loss, they remain 2nd in the NFC East and 7th in the conference, with a 71.1% chance of making the playoffs according to our projections.

Washington ranks 14th in our NFL power rankings and has an average scoring margin of +4.8 points per game. Against the spread, they are 7-4-1 this season, but they have failed to cover in three straight games. Their O/U record is 8-4, with their games averaging 50.9 points compared to an average line of 46.2.

Jayden Daniels threw for 275 yards in week 12, completing 25 of 38 passes with two touchdowns and two interceptions. He improved his passer rating from 68 in week 10 to 82 against the Cowboys, but he was sacked four times. Daniels also led the team in rushing with 74 yards on 7 carries, while Terry McLaurin had 5 receptions for 102 yards.

Heading into week 13, the Commanders rank 6th in our offensive power rankings. They are 5th in the NFL in points per game (27.8) and 6th in yards per game, averaging 370.5. Despite ranking 25th in passing attempts, they are 14th in passing yards per game. Washington leads the league in red zone attempts but ranks 26th in red zone conversion percentage.

In their most recent game, the Washington Commanders’ defense gave up 241 passing yards to the Cowboys, allowing two passing touchdowns while Dallas completed 75% of their passes. They also struggled on third downs, allowing the Cowboys to convert just 18.2% of their third down attempts. Washington’s defense managed only one sack and had a -6 differential in quarterback hits.

The Commanders’ defense did limit the Cowboys to 91 rushing yards on 28 attempts, and Dallas finished with 332 total yards in their 34-26 win over Washington. Despite this, Washington’s defense will be looking to improve in pressuring the quarterback and getting off the field on third downs in their next game.