UConn Huskies vs UMass Minutemen Betting Pick & Prediction 11/30/24

ESPN+ will be covering the UConn Huskies vs. UMass Minutemen matchup, set to kick off at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 30th, at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst. UConn comes in with a 7-4 record for the season, while UMass has struggled to a 2-9 record. The over/under is at 50 points, and UConn is the heavy favorite at -10.5 points.
UCONN HUSKIES VS UMASS MINUTEMEN BETTING PICK
The Pick: UConn Huskies -10.5
This game will be played at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 30th.
WHY BET THE UCONN HUSKIES:
- We have the UConn Huskies winning this one by a score of 35 to 20
- Not only do we have the UConn Huskies winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -10.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 50 points
Will The UConn Huskies Win As Road Favorites?
UConn enters Week 14 with a 7-4 record, but they are 1-3 on the road this season. They’ve gone 5-1 at home and are 6-0 as the favorite. UConn is 81st in our power rankings, and they are guaranteed to be bowl-eligible heading into their matchup with UMass.
Against the spread, UConn is 6-3-1, with a 3-1 mark on the road. They’ve been favored in six of their 11 games and have a 4-1-1 record ATS as the favorite. Their average scoring margin this season is +8.8 points per game.
UConn’s over/under record is 5-4-1, with their games averaging 53.2 points. This week’s line is set at 50 points, slightly above their average line of 48.9 points for the season.
UConn’s offense has been driven by their run game, averaging 197.2 rushing yards per game, ranking 27th in the nation. They are 28th in rushing attempts, with 38.5 per game. Durell Robinson leads the team with 648 rushing yards, seven touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. UConn is scoring 31 points per game, placing them 40th nationally, but they are ranked 108th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14.
Quarterback Joe Fagnano has thrown for 1,299 yards and 15 touchdowns, with just three interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 107. UConn ranks 86th in passing yards per game, averaging 204.3. Skyler Bell leads the receiving corps with 759 yards and four touchdowns on 45 catches.
UConn’s defense will look to bounce back after allowing 31 points in their recent 31-24 loss to Syracuse. Despite holding Syracuse to just 76 rushing yards on 30 attempts, the secondary struggled, giving up 470 passing yards and two touchdowns.
On the season, UConn ranks 34th nationally, allowing 22.2 points per game. They’ve given up 225.4 passing yards per game (99th) and 136.5 rushing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 60.1% of their passes, with a passer rating of 76.3 against UConn’s defense.
Are The UMass Minutemen Going Win In At Upset At Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
UMass enters Week 14 against UConn with a 2-9 record, ranked 126th in our power rankings. They have no chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season. At home, the Minutemen are 0-2, and they’ve been favored in just one game all year.
Their average scoring margin is -13.7 points per game, and they are 2-4-1 against the spread. UMass is 0-1 ATS as the favorite and 2-3-1 as the underdog.
UMass games have averaged 55.2 points, and their over/under record is 4-3. This week’s line is set at 50 points, slightly below their average line of 50.5 points.
Heading into week 14, UMass is averaging 20.7 points per game, placing them 91st in the nation. Our offensive power rankings have them at 87th. Their rushing game is the focal point, with 39.9 attempts per game, ranking 18th nationally, and they average 161.9 rushing yards per game.
Jalen John leads the rushing attack with 505 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored four touchdowns. Quarterback Taisun Phommachanh has thrown for 1,590 yards, with eight touchdowns and six interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 78. Jakobie Keeney-James has 771 receiving yards and five touchdowns.
UMass’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 34.5 points per game, including 59 points in their recent game against Georgia. They gave up 550 total yards, with 342 passing yards and four touchdowns through the air.
Opponents have averaged 195.2 rushing yards per game against UMass, ranking them 143rd nationally. Despite facing the 10th fewest pass attempts in the country, they’ve allowed a 57.4% completion rate and 176.2 passing yards per game, which ranks 20th nationally.