Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders Betting Pick & Prediction 11/24/24

This article was published on Nov 19, 2024. Today’s picks NFL picks

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders Betting Pick & Prediction 11/24/24

The Broncos are favored on the road as they take on the Raiders at 4:05 ET on Sunday, November 24th at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The Raiders are +197 on the money line, while the Broncos are -238. Denver is -5.5 on the point spread, and the over/under line is at 41.5 points. You can catch this week 12 AFC West matchup on CBS.

DENVER BRONCOS VS LAS VEGAS RAIDERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Denver Broncos -5.5

This game will be played at Allegiant Stadium at 4:05 ET on Sunday, November 24th.

WHY BET THE DENVER BRONCOS:

  • We have the Broncos winning this one by a score of 27 to 20
  • Not only do we have the Broncos winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -5.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 41.5 points

Will The Broncos Win As Road Favorites?

Denver improved to 6-5 with a dominant 38-6 win over the Falcons in week 11. The Broncos were favored by 2 points and easily covered the spread, snapping a two-game losing streak. Before that, they had dropped back-to-back games, including a 16-14 loss to the Chiefs in week 10, where they managed to cover the 7-point spread. In week 9, they were blown out 41-10 by the Ravens.

Heading into week 12, our projections give the Broncos a 50.7% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 23rd in our NFL power rankings and have an average scoring margin of +4.7 points per game. Denver is 8-3 against the spread this season, including a 4-0 record as the favorite.

Heading into week 12, the Broncos sit 27th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 19th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 21.4 points per game, and are 23rd in passing yards per game with 196.5, despite ranking 11th in pass attempts. On the ground, Denver is 20th in rushing yards per game, averaging 116 on 26.8 attempts per game. They rank 19th in 3rd-down conversions and 21st in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 7th in red zone attempts.

Bo Nix is coming off a strong performance in week 11, throwing for 307 yards and 4 touchdowns on 28/33 passing, with a passer rating of 145. Courtland Sutton led the team with 7 catches for 78 yards, while Javonte Williams rushed for 59 yards on 9 carries. Denver scored in every quarter in week 11 after being shut out in the 2nd half in weeks 9 and 10.

In their 38-6 win over the Falcons, the Broncos’ defense was dominant, allowing just 176 passing yards and 50 rushing yards on 21 attempts. They didn’t give up any passing touchdowns and held Atlanta to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down. Denver also came away with four sacks and an interception, while limiting the Falcons to 226 total yards.

Their defensive front was effective, winning the tackles for loss and quarterback hit differentials, and the secondary limited big plays, with the Falcons averaging only 5.7 yards per pass attempt. The Broncos also held Atlanta to a 64.5% completion percentage on their passes.

Are The Raiders Going Win In At Upset At Allegiant Stadium

Heading into week 12, the Raiders are looking to snap a six-game losing streak, which includes a 34-19 loss to the Dolphins in week 11. This puts Las Vegas at 2-8 on the season, and they currently sit 26th in our NFL power rankings. Our projections give them just a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs.

Against the spread, the Raiders are 4-6, with two straight ATS losses. They were unable to cover as 8-point underdogs against Miami, but they did cover in weeks 7 and 8, despite losing both games. Their O/U record stands at 7-3, with the over hitting in three consecutive games.

Heading into week 12, the Raiders rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They are 23rd in the NFL in points per game (18.7) and 30th in yards per game (285). Las Vegas ranks 16th in passing yards per game, despite being 5th in passing attempts. On the ground, they are last in the league in rushing yards per game, with just 75.2, on 21.5 attempts per game.

In week 11, Gardner Minshew threw for 282 yards (30/43) and 2 touchdowns, with 1 interception. Brock Bowers had 13 catches for 126 yards and a touchdown, while Jakobi Meyers led the team in rushing with a 20-yard run. The Raiders converted 8 of 14 third downs and scored 1 touchdown in 3 red zone trips.

In their 34-19 loss to the Dolphins, the Raiders’ defense struggled to get off the field, as Miami converted 66.7% of their third down attempts. Las Vegas allowed 271 passing yards on 28 completions, with Miami averaging 7.5 yards per pass attempt and throwing for three touchdowns. The Raiders’ defense also allowed Miami to complete 77.8% of their passes.

Despite the loss, the Raiders did have a couple of sacks and held the Dolphins to 82 rushing yards on 26 attempts (3.2 yards per attempt). Las Vegas also had a positive 6-4 advantage in tackles for loss in the game.