Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears Betting Pick & Prediction 11/24/24

FOX will broadcast the week 12 NFC North matchup between the Vikings and Bears at 1:00 ET. The Bears are the underdog at +148 on the money line, with the Vikings favored at -174. The Vikings are favored by -3 on the road, and the over/under line is at 39.5 points. The Vikings and Bears need to add their current records.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS VS CHICAGO BEARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Chicago Bears +3

This game will be played at Soldier Field at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 24th.

WHY BET THE CHICAGO BEARS:

• We have the Bears winning this one by a score of 24 to 19
• Not only do we have the Bears winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3
• Look for this game to go over the line of 39.5 points

Will The Vikings Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Heading into week 12, the Vikings sit 8th in our NFL power rankings and have a 95.1% chance of making the playoffs. They have won three straight games, including a 23-13 win over the Titans in week 11. Minnesota was favored by 6 points and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 7-3. They are 4-3 as favorites and 3-0 as underdogs.

So far, the Vikings have an O/U record of 3-7, with the under hitting in three straight games. Their games have averaged 41.4 points, while the O/U line has been 44.8. Against the Titans, the teams combined for 36 points, with the line set at 40.

Heading into week 12, the Vikings rank 14th in our offensive power rankings. They are 9th in the NFL in points per game (24.4) and 15th in yards per game (341). Minnesota has been strong in the first quarter, leading the league in scoring with 8.2 points per game. They rank 13th in red zone conversion percentage and 12th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 39.7% success rate.

Sam Darnold bounced back in week 11, posting a passer rating of 107 with 246 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Titans. He connected with Justin Jefferson 6 times for 81 yards. Aaron Jones was held to 39 yards on 15 carries, while the Vikings scored all 23 of their points in the first three quarters.

In their 23-13 win over the Titans, the Vikings’ defense allowed just 33 rushing yards on 19 attempts, giving up only 1.7 yards per attempt. They also recorded five sacks and held Tennessee to a 40% third-down conversion rate. Despite allowing 261 passing yards, Minnesota defended the pass well, allowing just 17 completions and holding the Titans to a 54.8% completion percentage. Additionally, they picked off one pass and limited Tennessee to one passing touchdown.

Will The Bears Win At Home Over The Vikings?

The Bears have now dropped four straight games, including a 20-19 home loss to the Packers in week 11. Chicago was a 6-point underdog in that matchup, but they managed to cover the spread. The O/U line was set at 41 points, and the combined scoring fell just short of that, marking the Bears’ fourth consecutive under.

Chicago currently sits 24th in our NFL power rankings and has a 1.1% chance of making the playoffs. They are 6-4 against the spread this season, with a +0.7 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 3-7, with their games averaging 38.1 points compared to an average line of 42.6.

Heading into week 12, the Bears rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 21st in the NFL in points per game (19.4) and 29th in yards per game (289). Chicago is 28th in passing yards per game (173.8) on 32.5 attempts per game, which ranks 12th. On the ground, they average 115.2 rushing yards per game, ranking 22nd in the league. Despite being 28th in 3rd-down conversions, they are 3rd in the NFL in red zone conversion percentage (60.9%).

In week 11, Caleb Williams threw for 231 yards on 23/31 passing, with no touchdowns or interceptions. He was sacked 3 times after being sacked 9 times in week 10. D’Andre Swift rushed for 71 yards on 14 carries, while Rome Odunze led the team with 6 catches for 65 yards. The Bears scored 19 points, with 9 coming in the 3rd quarter.

In their 20-19 loss to the Packers, the Bears’ defense allowed 260 passing yards on just 13 completions. The Bears defended the run well, allowing only 106 yards on 25 attempts. Despite this, they gave up 366 total yards to the Packers and struggled to get off the field, as the Packers converted 80% of their fourth down attempts and 50% of their third downs.

Chicago’s defense came up with one interception and held the Packers to a 76.5% completion rate. They managed one sack and had one tackle for loss more than the Packers.