Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans Betting Pick & Prediction 11/24/24

The Titans and Texans will face off on Sunday, November 24th at 1:00 ET on CBS. The Texans are the heavy favorite with a money line of -430 and are favored by -8.5 points in this AFC South matchup. The Titans’ money line odds are +332, and the over/under line is set at 41.5 points.

TENNESSEE TITANS VS HOUSTON TEXANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Texans -8.5

This game will be played at NRG Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 24th.

WHY BET THE HOUSTON TEXANS:

• We have the Texans winning this one by a score of 30 to 17
• Not only do we have the Texans winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -8.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 41.5 points

Will The Titans Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Heading into week 12, the Titans are 28th in our power rankings and have a 0.5% chance of making the playoffs. Tennessee is 2-8 this season and has lost two in a row, including a 23-13 home loss to the Vikings in week 11. They were 6-point underdogs in that game but couldn’t cover the spread, putting their ATS record at 1-9. The Titans have failed to cover in six straight games.

In week 10, the Titans lost 27-17 to the Chargers, and they haven’t won since week 9, when they beat the Patriots 20-17. Tennessee was favored by 3.5 points in that game but couldn’t cover the spread. Their O/U record is 5-4-1, with their games averaging 43.3 points per game.

Heading into week 12, the Titans rank 30th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 17 points per game, which is 26th in the NFL. They are 25th in the league with 295.4 passing yards per game and 27th in passing yards, with 178.4 per game. On the ground, they rank 18th in rushing yards per game, with 117, on 26.8 attempts per game. Tennessee is 26th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 33.6% success rate, but they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 7th in the league with a 48.3% conversion rate.

Will Levis threw for 295 yards in week 11, completing 17 of 31 passes with one touchdown and one interception. He was sacked five times in the loss to the Vikings. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine led the team with 117 receiving yards on two catches, while Levis also led the team in rushing with 18 yards on seven carries.

The Titans’ defense gave up 236 passing yards to the Vikings in their most recent game, allowing two passing touchdowns. They also defended the run well, giving up just 82 yards on 33 attempts, which is 2.5 yards per attempt. Overall, the Titans allowed 318 yards of total offense to the Vikings and held them to a 35.7% third-down conversion rate.

Despite coming away with two sacks, the Titans lost the tackles for loss battle, with a -4 differential. They’ll be looking to improve in the red zone in future games, as the Vikings were 2 for 2 in the red zone in this one.

Are The Texans Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

With a 7-4 record, the Texans sit atop the AFC South and have a 96.8% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. They also have a 94.6% chance of winning the division. Houston ranks 9th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 12.

After two straight losses, the Texans bounced back with a 34-10 win over the Cowboys in week 11. They covered the 7-point spread, giving them two straight ATS wins. Houston is 5-6 against the spread this season and has an average scoring margin of +2.

Heading into week 12, the Texans are 17th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 13th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.5, and sit 14th in total yards per game with 342.9. Houston has been strong early in games, ranking 3rd in the league in 1st-quarter scoring. They are 16th in 3rd-down conversion percentage at 38.2% and 22nd in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 6th in red zone attempts.

In week 11, the Texans scored 34 points in a win over the Cowboys, including 14 points in the 4th quarter. C.J. Stroud threw for 257 yards on 23/34 passing, while Joe Mixon rushed for 109 yards and 3 touchdowns. Tank Dell led the team with 54 receiving yards. Houston converted 2 of 4 red zone opportunities and went 4/12 on 3rd down.

The Texans’ defense came up with five sacks and held Dallas to just 33.3% on third down in their 34-10 win over the Cowboys. Despite giving up 324 passing yards, they limited Dallas to just 64 rushing yards on 18 attempts. Houston also came away with one interception and allowed the Cowboys to complete just 58.9% of their passes.

On the day, the Texans allowed 388 total yards, but their ability to pressure the quarterback was key. They also won the quarterback hit differential, the tackles for loss differential, and kept Dallas to just one touchdown through the air.