Kansas City Chiefs vs Carolina Panthers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/24/24
The Panthers are +440 on the money line as they host the Chiefs at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte. The Chiefs are favored by -11 on the road, and the over/under line is 41.5 points. This non-conference matchup is set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 24th, with CBS handling the television coverage.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS CAROLINA PANTHERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -11
This game will be played at Bank of America Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 24th.
WHY BET THE KANSAS CITY CHIEFS:
- We have the Chiefs winning this one by a score of 29 to 16
- Not only do we have the Chiefs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -11
- Look for this game to go over the line of 41.5 points
Will The Chiefs Win As Road Favorites?
Heading into week 12, the Chiefs sit atop the AFC standings with a 9-1 record despite a 30-21 loss to the Bills in week 11. Prior to that, Kansas City had won nine straight, including a narrow 16-14 victory over the Broncos in week 10. The Chiefs were favored by 7 points in that game but couldn’t cover the spread, marking their third consecutive ATS loss. They are now 4-5-1 against the spread this season.
Our projections give the Chiefs a 100% chance of making the playoffs and a 93.3% chance of winning the AFC West. They are 3-0 in division games and 5-1 against conference opponents. Kansas City ranks 4th in our NFL power rankings.
Patrick Mahomes threw for 196 yards on 23/33 passing with 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions in week 11 against the Bills. He posted a passer rating of 89 and was sacked twice. Kareem Hunt had 14 carries for 60 yards, while Xavier Worthy led the team in receiving with 4 catches for 61 yards and a touchdown. The Chiefs scored 7 points in the 4th quarter after being shut out in the 1st and 3rd quarters, converting 5 of 10 3rd downs and going 3/3 in the red zone.
Heading into week 12, the Chiefs rank 10th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 24, and they are 16th in passing yards per game with 226.5. They lead the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage at 51.9% but rank 23rd in red zone conversion percentage. Kansas City is 25th in the NFL in 1st-quarter scoring, averaging 2.7 points.
In their 30-21 loss to the Bills, the Chiefs’ defense allowed Buffalo to convert on 60% of their third down attempts. The Chiefs gave up 262 passing yards, with Buffalo completing 67.5% of their passes. Kansas City’s defense struggled to generate pressure, as they didn’t record any sacks and finished with a -3 differential in quarterback hits.
Buffalo also found some success running the ball, gaining 104 yards on 31 attempts. The Chiefs will be looking to improve in getting off the field on third downs and generating more pressure on the quarterback in their upcoming games.
Are The Panthers Going Win In At Upset At Bank of America Stadium
After snapping a six-game losing streak with back-to-back wins, the Panthers are now 3-7 on the season. Carolina followed up their week 9 win over the Saints with a 20-17 victory against the Giants in week 10. The Panthers were 6.5-point underdogs in that game, but they came away with the win, improving their ATS record to 3-7.
Heading into week 12, the Panthers rank 30th in our NFL power rankings and have a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record stands at 7-3, with their games averaging 47.7 points per game this season.
Heading into week 12, the Panthers sit 29th in our offensive power rankings. They are 27th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 16.7, and rank 32nd in total yards with 280.7 per game. Carolina is 29th in passing yards per game (170.7) and 24th in rushing yards (110). They are converting 33.3% of their third-down attempts, which ranks 27th, but they are 8th in the league in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 15th in red zone attempts.
Bryce Young threw for 126 yards (15/25) and a touchdown in week 10, without an interception. Chuba Hubbard had a big game, rushing for 153 yards on 28 carries, while Jalen Coker led the team with 41 receiving yards. Carolina scored 17 points in regulation against the Giants, with 7 in the first quarter and 3 in the second, before winning in overtime.
In their 20-17 overtime win over the Giants, the Panthers’ defense gave up 342 yards, but they played well in the passing game, allowing just 175 yards through the air. They struggled to stop the run, allowing 167 yards on 34 attempts. Despite this, the Panthers didn’t give up any touchdowns through the air and came away with two interceptions. The Giants converted on 46.7% of their third down attempts.
Carolina’s defense managed two sacks and had more tackles for loss than the Giants. They also limited the Giants to a 59.5% completion percentage in the passing game.