Kentucky Wildcats vs Texas Longhorns Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

ABC will be covering this week 13 matchup between the Kentucky Wildcats and the Texas Longhorns, set to kick off at 3:30 ET from Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin. The Longhorns are the heavy favorite at -20.5 points, with the over/under line currently set at 47 points. Texas comes in with a 9-1 record, while Kentucky is 4-6 on the season.

KENTUCKY WILDCATS VS TEXAS LONGHORNS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Kentucky Wildcats +20.5

This game will be played at Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.

WHY BET THE KENTUCKY WILDCATS:

• We have the Texas Longhorns winning this one by a score of 27 to 17
• Even though we like the Texas Longhorns to win, our ATS pick is to take the Kentucky Wildcats at +20.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 47 points

Will The Kentucky Wildcats Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Kentucky enters Week 13 with a 4-6 record, holding a 1.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They’ve gone 2-4 at home and 1-2 on the road this season. In six of their ten games, the Wildcats have been favored, but they’ve only managed a 2-4 record in those matchups.

The Wildcats have a +2.6 average scoring margin and are 5-4 against the spread. They’ve gone 3-0 ATS as underdogs and 2-4 as favorites. On the road, Kentucky is 2-1 ATS, while they are 3-3 at home.

This week’s over/under line is set at 47 points. Kentucky’s games have averaged 41.2 points, with an average line of 45.1 points. Their over/under record is 3-6, with seven games featuring lower lines than this week’s total.

Heading into week 13, Kentucky’s offense ranks 80th in points per game, averaging 21.9, and they sit 74th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has struggled, ranking 109th in passing yards per game, with just 183.4 yards. They are 82nd in passing completions, averaging 14.4 per game, and their third-down conversion rate is 37.4%, ranking 85th. Kentucky’s passer rating is 73, placing them 120th nationally.

Brock Vandagriff leads the Wildcats with 1,542 passing yards, nine touchdowns, and seven interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 81. Kentucky is 32nd in rushing attempts, averaging 37.1 per game, and they gain 159.1 rushing yards per game. Demie Sumo-Karngbaye has 505 rushing yards and five touchdowns. Dane Key leads the receiving corps with 686 yards and two touchdowns.

Kentucky’s defense is ranked 19th nationally, allowing 19.3 points per game this season. They’ve given up 134.4 rushing yards per game and 188.5 passing yards, with quarterbacks posting a passer rating of 80.2 and completing 64.2% of their throws against Kentucky.

In their recent game against Murray State, Kentucky’s defense allowed just 6 points, giving up 259 total yards. They held Murray State to 90 rushing yards on 26 attempts and 169 passing yards, while also forcing three interceptions.

Are The Texas Longhorns Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

At 9-1, Texas is ranked first in our CFB power rankings. They have a 39% chance of winning the Southeastern and a 93.2% chance of making the playoffs. The Longhorns also have the best odds of reaching the national championship game at 32.3% and winning it at 19.8%.

Texas is 5-1 at home and 4-0 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in all 10 games, going 9-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +25.1 points, and they are 6-4 against the spread.

This week’s over/under line is 47 points. Texas games have averaged 48.9 points, with an average line of 53.4 points. They are 4-5-1 against the over/under, with an average margin of -4.5 points.

Texas has leaned on their passing game this season, ranking 14th nationally with 288.5 yards per game. They are 20th in completions, averaging 23.3 per game, and 27th in attempts. Their quarterback, Quinn Ewers, has thrown for 1,898 yards and has a passer rating of 109. Texas is 12th in scoring, averaging 37 points per game, and we have them 15th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13.

Ewers has completed 68.4% of his passes, throwing 21 touchdowns and six interceptions. Texas ranks 10th in passer rating. Isaiah Bond leads the team with 483 receiving yards and five touchdowns. On the ground, Texas averages 162.5 rushing yards per game.

Texas’ defense has been a standout unit this season, ranking 4th nationally by allowing just 11.9 points per game. They’ve also limited opponents to 136.5 passing yards per game, which is the 4th-lowest in the country, and quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of just 52 against them, the 3rd-lowest in the nation.

In their recent game against Arkansas, Texas gave up only 10 points and 231 total yards. They held Arkansas to 82 rushing yards on 34 attempts and 149 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.