Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan State Spartans Betting Pick & Prediction 11/22/24

Michigan State is the heavy favorite in this week 13 matchup against Purdue, set to kick off at 8:00 ET from Spartan Stadium in East Lansing (MI). The game will be broadcast on FOX, and the over/under line is currently at 48.5 points. The Spartans are -13.5 point favorites, and the money line odds have them at -547. Purdue comes in with a 1-9 record, while Michigan State is 4-6 on the season.

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Purdue Boilermakers +13.5

This game will be played at Spartan Stadium (MI) at 8:00 ET on Friday, November 22nd.

WHY BET THE PURDUE BOILERMAKERS:

• We have the Michigan State Spartans winning this one by a score of 25 to 22
• Even though we like the Michigan State Spartans to win, our ATS pick is to take the Purdue Boilermakers at +13.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 48.5 points

Will The Purdue Boilermakers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Purdue enters Week 13 against Michigan State with a 1-9 record and no chance of bowl eligibility. They are ranked 114th in our power rankings and have gone winless on the road (0-3) and at home (0-4) this season.

The Boilermakers have not been favored in any games this year and have an average scoring margin of -21.7 points per game. Against the spread, they are 0-7.

Purdue’s over/under record is 4-3, with their games averaging 56.1 points. This week’s line is set at 48.5 points, compared to their average line of 49.8 points.

Heading into week 13, Purdue’s offense ranks 104th in our power rankings, averaging 17.2 points per game. They are 111th in third-down conversions, converting just 33.3% of their attempts. On the ground, they average 138.2 rushing yards per game.

Devin Mockobee leads the rushing attack with 652 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry and scoring three touchdowns. Quarterback Hudson Card has thrown for 1,264 yards, with eight touchdowns and five interceptions, and has a passer rating of 82.

Purdue’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 38.9 points per game. In their recent matchup against Penn State, they gave up 49 points, including four passing touchdowns and 305 passing yards. They also allowed 234 rushing yards in the game.

Opponents have averaged 204.3 rushing yards per game against Purdue, while quarterbacks have posted a 108.8 passer rating and completed 65.8% of their passes, averaging 251.1 passing yards per game.

Are The Michigan State Spartans Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Michigan State enters Week 13 with a 4-6 record, facing Purdue at home. They rank 74th in our power rankings and have a 35.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Spartans are 2-2 at home this season.

They’ve been favored in just one game this season, going 1-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -6.1 points, and they are 4-5 against the spread.

The over/under line for this week is 48.5 points. Michigan State’s games have averaged a 46-point line, with their over/under record at 5-4 and an average total of 44.9 points per game.

Heading into week 13, Michigan State’s offense ranks 87th in scoring, averaging 19.4 points per game. They are 75th in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is 38.2%, and they are 104th in rushing, with 117.1 yards per game.

Aidan Chiles has thrown for 2,106 yards, leading the passing game. Michigan State is 51st in passing attempts, averaging 29.9 per game. Chiles has 10 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, with a passer rating of 79. Nick Marsh has 611 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

Michigan State’s defense has allowed an average of 25.5 points per game this season, including 38 points in their recent 38-16 loss to Illinois. In that game, they gave up 370 total yards, with 231 yards coming through the air and 139 on the ground, while allowing five touchdowns, including three rushing scores.

Opponents have averaged 132.2 rushing yards per game on 32.7 attempts against Michigan State, while quarterbacks have posted a 92 passer rating, completing 61.1% of their passes for an average of 198.4 yards per game.