UNLV Rebels vs San Jose State Spartans Betting Pick & Prediction 11/22/24

UNLV comes into this game with an 8-2 record, while San Jose State is 6-4 on the season. The game is set for Friday, November 22nd, with a 10:00 ET kickoff at CEFCU Stadium in San Jose. You can catch this one on FS1, with the Rebels favored at -7.5 points. The over/under line is currently at 62.5 points.

UNLV REBELS VS SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Jose State Spartans +7.5

This game will be played at CEFCU Stadium at 10:00 ET on Friday, November 22nd.

WHY BET THE SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS:

• We have the San Jose State Spartans winning this one by a score of 33 to 25
• Not only do we have the San Jose State Spartans winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +7.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 62.5 points

Will The UNLV Rebels Win As Road Favorites?

UNLV heads into Week 13 with an 8-2 record, holding the top spot in our projections for bowl eligibility. They have a 15.9% chance of winning the Mountain West and rank 23rd in the nation with an 8.8% chance of making the CFB playoff. The Rebels are 5-0 on the road this season and 2-1 at home.

UNLV’s ATS record is 4-4, and they have a +16.5 average scoring margin. They’ve been favored in five games, going 2-3 against the spread as the favorite. On the road, they are 3-2 ATS, while their home record is 1-2.

The over/under line for this week is 62.5 points. UNLV’s games have averaged 63.3 points, with an average line of 57.4 points. They are 4-4 against the over/under this season, with seven games having lower lines than this week’s total.

UNLV’s offense ranks 6th in points per game, averaging 39.9, and they are 38th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13. Their rushing attack is their strength, with 250.1 yards per game on 43 attempts, ranking 7th nationally.

Hajj-Malik Williams has thrown for 1,436 yards, completing 64.8% of his passes, with 14 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 113. Ricky White III has 867 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns this season.

UNLV’s defense has been strong against the run this season, allowing just 112 rushing yards per game, which ranks 27th nationally. In their latest game, a 41-20 win over San Diego State, they gave up 107 rushing yards on 35 attempts and forced two interceptions.

Opponents have averaged 260.5 passing yards per game against UNLV, but quarterbacks have managed just a 72.7 passer rating, the 27th-lowest in the country. This season, UNLV’s defense has faced the 34th-fewest rushing attempts and the 105th-most passing attempts nationally.

Are The San Jose State Spartans Going Win In At Upset At CEFCU Stadium

San Jose State enters Week 13 with a 6-4 record, and they are 100% likely to be bowl-eligible. They are 2-1 at home this season and rank 91st in our CFB power rankings. So far, they have been favored in only two games this season.

The Spartans have a +2.1 average scoring margin, but their ATS record is 2-5. At home, they are 0-3 against the spread, and as the favorite, they are 0-2 ATS.

This week’s over/under line is set at 62.5 points, the highest for San Jose State this season. Their average over/under line is 54.4 points, and their over/under record is 2-5, with games averaging 53.9 points.

San Jose State’s offense is ranked 71st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 13, and they are 50th in points per game, scoring 28 per contest. The Spartans have leaned heavily on their passing game, ranking 4th in the nation with 343.7 passing yards per game, and they are 6th in passing attempts, averaging 42.1 per game. They are 13th in completions, with 24.6 per game, and they have converted 41.3% of their third-down attempts.

Walker Eget leads the team with 1,758 passing yards, completing 59.3% of his passes. He has thrown six touchdowns and eight interceptions, with a passer rating of 81. On the ground, San Jose State is averaging 92 rushing yards per game. Floyd Chalk IV has rushed for 596 yards, scoring nine touchdowns and averaging 5 yards per carry. Nick Nash has been the top receiver, with 1,282 yards and 14 touchdowns on 95 catches.

San Jose State’s defense has allowed an average of 25.9 points per game this season, including 42 points in their latest matchup against Boise State. The Spartans gave up 456 total yards, with 286 yards coming through the air and 170 on the ground, along with four rushing touchdowns.

Opponents have averaged 240.9 passing yards per game against San Jose State, ranking them 120th nationally. The defense has faced 40.7 rushing attempts per game, allowing an average of 155 rushing yards per contest.