Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys Betting Pick & Prediction 11/18/24

On Monday, November 18th, the Texans and Cowboys will face off at 8:15 ET on ESPN. The Texans are the heavy favorite with a money line of -364, and they are favored by -7.5 on the road. This non-conference matchup is being played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. The Cowboys’ money line odds are +288, and the over/under line is set at 42 points.

HOUSTON TEXANS VS DALLAS COWBOYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Dallas Cowboys +7.5

This game will be played at AT&T Stadium at 8:15 ET on Monday, November 18th.

WHY BET THE DALLAS COWBOYS:

• We have the Texans winning this one by a score of 28 to 21
• Even though we like the Texans to win, our ATS pick is to take the Cowboys at +7.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 42 points

Will The Texans Win As Road Favorites?

Despite a two-game losing streak, the Texans remain atop the AFC South with a 6-4 record. After a week 8 win over the Colts, Houston has dropped two straight, including a 26-23 loss to the Lions in week 10. The Texans were +4 at home in that game, so they managed to cover the spread. The O/U line was 49, and the teams combined for exactly that, resulting in a push.

Our projections give Houston a 94.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 92.6% chance of winning the division. The Texans rank 13th in our power rankings heading into week 11. They have a -0.2 scoring margin and are 4-6 ATS this season. Their O/U record is 2-7-1, with their games averaging 45 points compared to an average line of 45.6.

Heading into week 11, the Texans rank 18th in our offensive power rankings, sitting 14th in the NFL with 22.4 points per game. They are 15th in passing yards per game (218.7) and 10th in passing attempts (34.4). On the ground, they average 119.4 rushing yards per game, ranking 18th, on 28.4 attempts per contest. Houston has been strong early in games, ranking 4th in the league in 1st quarter scoring.

In week 10, the Texans scored all 23 of their points in the first half against the Lions, failing to score in the 3rd and 4th quarters. C.J. Stroud threw for 232 yards, completing 19 of 33 passes, with one touchdown and two interceptions. Joe Mixon rushed for 46 yards on 25 carries, while John Metchie III led the team with 74 receiving yards on 5 catches.

In their 26-23 loss to the Lions, the Texans’ defense allowed just 15 completions but gave up 240 passing yards, including two touchdowns. Despite this, they did manage to come up with five interceptions. The Texans’ run defense held up well, allowing just 105 yards on 32 attempts (3.3 yards per attempt). Houston’s defense struggled on third downs, allowing the Lions to convert 58.3% of their third down attempts. They also failed to record any sacks in the game and had a tackles for loss differential of -6.

Are The Cowboys Going Win In At Upset At AT&T Stadium

With a 3-6 record, the Cowboys rank 32nd in our NFL power rankings and have just a 0.9% chance of making the playoffs. Dallas has lost four straight games, including a 34-6 home loss to the Eagles in week 10. They were unable to cover the spread as 7-point underdogs and are now 2-7 ATS this season. Their O/U record stands at 5-4, with the under hitting in their last two games.

Dallas is 0-4 at home this season but has gone 3-2 on the road. Their last win came in week 5, when they beat the Steelers 20-17. In that game, the Cowboys covered the spread as 2.5-point underdogs.

Heading into week 11, the Cowboys rank 25th in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in passing attempts per game (39.4), averaging 231.3 passing yards, which ranks 10th. On the ground, Dallas ranks 27th in rushing attempts and 31st in rushing yards per game, with just 83.7. They are converting 35.9% of their third-down attempts, ranking 21st in the league, but have been strong in the red zone, converting 66.7% of their opportunities, which ranks 2nd.

In week 10, Cooper Rush struggled, throwing for just 45 yards on 13/23 passing. Rico Dowdle led the team with 53 rushing yards on 12 carries, and Jake Ferguson had 4 catches for 24 yards. Dallas scored only 6 points against the Eagles, failing to score in the second half.

In the Cowboys’ 34-6 loss to the Eagles, their defense allowed 187 rushing yards on 38 attempts, with Philadelphia finishing the game with 348 total yards. Despite giving up a big day on the ground, Dallas did manage to sack the quarterback five times and held the Eagles to a 36.4% conversion rate on third down.

In the passing game, the Cowboys allowed just 161 yards through the air on 15 completions. However, they did give up two passing touchdowns and allowed the Eagles to complete 68.2% of their passes. Dallas also came up with one interception.