Indianapolis Colts vs New York Jets Betting Pick & Prediction 11/17/24

The Jets are favored on the money line at -182 as they host the Colts at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. The Colts’ point spread is +3.5, and the over/under line is set at 44 points. Looking to add to their record, the Jets are also looking to add to their record. This week 11 AFC matchup is being televised on CBS.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS NEW YORK JETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Indianapolis Colts +3.5

This game will be played at MetLife Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th.

WHY BET THE INDIANAPOLIS COLTS:

• We have the Colts winning this one by a score of 24 to 15
• Not only do we have the Colts winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 44 points

Will The Colts Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Heading into week 11, the Colts are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 30-20 home loss to the Bills in week 10. This dropped their record to 4-6, but they remain 2nd in the AFC South despite being 1-3 in division games. Our projections give the Colts a 27.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 5.7% chance of winning the division.

Indianapolis ranks 24th in our NFL power rankings and has an average scoring margin of -1.5 points per game. They are 7-3 against the spread, but have failed to cover in two straight games. Their O/U record stands at 4-6, with their games averaging 43.1 points compared to an average line of 44.4.

Heading into week 11, the Colts sit 23rd in our offensive power rankings. They are 15th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 20.8 points per game, and rank 19th in passing yards per game (198.3) and 14th in rushing yards per game (121.3). On 3rd down, they are 20th in the league with a 36.6% conversion rate, but they rank 13th in red zone conversions.

Joe Flacco threw for 272 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 10, but he also had 3 interceptions. Jonathan Taylor rushed for 114 yards on 21 carries, and Alec Pierce led the team with 81 receiving yards on 4 catches. The Colts scored 10 points in the 2nd quarter and 7 in the 4th against the Bills.

In their 30-20 loss to the Bills, the Colts’ defense gave up 280 passing yards on 22 completions. Buffalo had success running the ball, gaining 135 yards on 31 attempts (4.4 yards per attempt). Despite this, the Colts’ defense did not allow any passing touchdowns and even came away with two interceptions.

On third downs, the Colts allowed the Bills to convert 50% of their chances. Indianapolis managed two sacks in the game but did lose the tackles for loss differential by -4. The Colts will be looking to shore up their run defense in their next game.

Are The Jets Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Heading into week 11, the Jets sit at 3-7, ranking 17th in our NFL power rankings and giving them an 8.6% chance of making the playoffs. New York is 1-2 in division games and 3-4 in conference matchups, placing them 3rd in the AFC East. They are 2-2 at home and 1-5 on the road.

Against the spread, the Jets are 3-7, with all three of their wins coming as the favorite. Their O/U record stands at 4-5-1, with the under hitting in their last two games. Their games have averaged 39.1 points this season, compared to an average line of 41.6.

Heading into week 11, the Jets rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 23rd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17.7, and 26th in yards per game, with 298.5. New York ranks 4th in passing attempts per game but is only 17th in passing yards, averaging 211.7 per game. They have struggled on the ground, ranking 28th in rushing attempts and 30th in rushing yards per game, with 86.8.

In week 10, the Jets scored just 6 points in a loss to the Cardinals, failing to score in the second half. Aaron Rodgers threw for 151 yards on 22/35 passing, while Breece Hall had 52 rushing yards on 10 carries. Garrett Wilson led the team with 5 catches for 41 yards. New York converted 6 of 13 third downs but went 0/3 in the red zone.

In their 31-6 loss to the Cardinals, the Jets’ defense allowed Arizona to convert on 71.4% of their third down attempts. The Jets gave up 406 total yards, with 147 of those coming on the ground, and 259 through the air. The Cardinals averaged 10.8 yards per attempt in the passing game and had one passing touchdown.

The Jets managed just one sack in the game and lost the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials. Arizona completed 91.7% of their passes against the Jets in the blowout loss.