Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/17/24

The Ravens are favored on the road as they take on the Steelers at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th. The Ravens’ money line odds are -175, while the Steelers are at +146. The game is being televised on CBS, and the Ravens are -3 point favorites. The over/under line is set at 47.5 points.

BALTIMORE RAVENS VS PITTSBURGH STEELERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers +3

This game will be played at Acrisure Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th.

WHY BET THE PITTSBURGH STEELERS:

• We have the Steelers winning this one by a score of 29 to 21
• Not only do we have the Steelers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3
• Look for this game to go over the line of 47.5 points

Will The Ravens Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Heading into week 11, the Ravens rank 2nd in our NFL power rankings and have a 99.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 63.1% chance of winning the AFC North. Baltimore is 7-3 this season and has won two straight, including a 35-34 victory over the Bengals in week 10. The Ravens couldn’t cover the 6-point spread in that game, but the 69 combined points easily went over the 53-point line, giving them six straight overs.

So far, Baltimore is 5-4-1 against the spread, with a +6.5 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 9-1, with their games averaging 57.1 points compared to an average line of 47.8. In division play, the Ravens are 2-1, and they are 4-1 at home and 3-2 on the road.

Heading into week 11, the Ravens are leading the NFL in points per game (31.8) and passing yards per game (440.2). They are 3rd in passing yards per game (257.6) despite ranking 25th in passing attempts. Baltimore also ranks 4th in 3rd-down conversions and is 2nd in red zone attempts, though their conversion rate is 31st in the league.

Lamar Jackson has been on fire, throwing for 290 yards and 4 touchdowns in week 10, with a passer rating of 141. He hasn’t thrown an interception in his last 3 games. Derrick Henry rushed for 68 yards on 16 carries in week 10, and Tylan Wallace had 3 catches for 115 yards.

Despite giving up 421 passing yards to the Bengals, the Ravens’ defense allowed just 49 rushing yards on 16 attempts in their 35-34 win over the Bengals. Cincinnati had a big day passing the ball, completing 34 passes and four touchdowns, but the Ravens’ defense made it tough for them to run the ball.

The Ravens’ defense recorded three sacks and held the Bengals to a 60.7% completion percentage. However, they did struggle on third down, allowing the Bengals to convert 50% of their third down attempts.

Will The Steelers Win At Home Over The Ravens?

The Steelers extended their winning streak to four games with a narrow 28-27 victory over the Commanders in week 10, improving their record to 7-2. This puts them atop the AFC North and 3rd in the conference standings. Our power rankings have Pittsburgh 10th heading into week 11, and they have a 94.0% chance of making the playoffs and a 36.3% chance of winning the division.

Pittsburgh is 7-2 against the spread this season, including a 4-game ATS winning streak. They covered in week 10, beating Washington as 1.5-point underdogs. The over has hit in four straight Steelers games, including week 10, when they and the Commanders combined for 55 points, surpassing the 45.5-point line.

Heading into week 11, the Steelers are 14th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 10th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 23.9 points per game, and are 18th in total yards, with 326.3 per game. Pittsburgh has leaned heavily on the run, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 8th in rushing yards per game. On the other hand, they are 29th in passing attempts and 26th in passing yards, with 188 per game. The Steelers are 11th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 40% success rate.

In week 10, the Steelers scored 28 points in their win over the Commanders, with 7 points in each quarter. Russell Wilson threw for 195 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 1 interception. George Pickens led the team with 5 catches for 91 yards and a touchdown. On the ground, Jaylen Warren had 66 yards on 14 carries.

The Steelers’ defense played well on third downs in their 28-27 win over Washington, allowing just a 35.7% conversion rate. They limited Washington to 182 passing yards on 17 completions and 242 total yards. Pittsburgh didn’t allow any passing touchdowns and held Washington to a 50% completion percentage.

Against the run, the Steelers gave up just 60 yards on 22 attempts, allowing only 2.7 yards per attempt. They also recorded three sacks and had a positive tackles for loss differential in the game.