Jacksonville Jaguars vs Detroit Lions Betting Pick & Prediction 11/17/24

The Jaguars and Lions will face off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th at Ford Field in Detroit. The Jaguars are the heavy underdogs, with their point spread at +13 and money line at +522. The Lions are favored by -794 and are looking to improve their record in this non-conference matchup. The game will be televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 47.5 points.

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS VS DETROIT LIONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Detroit Lions -13

This game will be played at Ford Field at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th.

WHY BET THE DETROIT LIONS:

• We have the Lions winning this one by a score of 30 to 15
• Not only do we have the Lions winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -13
• We see this game finishing below the line of 47.5 points

Will The Jaguars Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Jacksonville heads into week 11 against the Lions looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 12-7 home loss to the Vikings in week 10. The Jaguars are now 2-8 on the season, putting them 4th in the AFC South. They are 0-5 on the road and 2-3 at home, with one of those wins coming in week 7 against the Patriots. Jacksonville couldn’t build on that victory, losing to the Packers in week 8 and the Eagles in week 9.

According to our power rankings, the Jaguars are 29th in the NFL, and we give them a 1.5% chance of making the playoffs. They have an average scoring margin of -6.2 points per game but are 6-4 against the spread this season. They have covered in four straight games, including their week 10 loss to the Vikings, where they were 7-point underdogs.

Jacksonville’s offense has struggled in recent weeks, with Mac Jones throwing for just 111 yards and 2 interceptions in week 10 after Trevor Lawrence’s 169-yard, 2-interception performance in week 9. Before that, Lawrence threw for 308 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 8. Evan Engram led the team with 40 receiving yards in week 10, while Travis Etienne Jr. had 44 rushing yards.

Heading into week 11, the Jaguars rank 21st in our offensive power rankings. They are 18th in the NFL in points per game (20.2) and 25th in yards per game (302.9). Jacksonville ranks 27th in 3rd-down conversions and 21st in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 7th in red zone attempts.

Despite their defensive effort, the Jaguars lost 12-7 to the Vikings in their most recent game. The Jaguars’ defense intercepted three passes and held the Vikings to a 35.7% conversion rate on third down. However, they struggled to stop the run, allowing 169 rushing yards on 43 attempts. Jacksonville also gave up 233 passing yards and 402 total yards.

Jacksonville’s defense managed only one sack in the game and allowed Minnesota to have a 63.2% completion rate on their passes. Even though they kept the Vikings out of the endzone, their offensive unit was unable to capitalize on the defensive effort and come out with a win.

Are The Lions Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

With seven straight wins, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 99.4% chance of making the playoffs. They are 8-1 overall and 6-1 in conference play, including a 2-0 record in the NFC North. Detroit has been strong on the road, going 5-0, and is 3-1 at home.

Against the spread, the Lions are 7-2, with a +12.6 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 4-4-1, with their games averaging 50.6 points. In week 10, they beat the Texans 26-23 but didn’t cover the 4-point spread. The 49-point total was a push.

Heading into week 11, the Lions are 4th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 31.6 points per game, which ranks 2nd in the NFL. They are 7th in the league in total yards per game, with 366.9, and they rank 14th in passing yards per game, with 219.6, despite being 27th in passing attempts. On the ground, Detroit ranks 7th in rushing yards per game, with 147.3, on 31.1 attempts per game. The Lions are 6th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 4th in red zone attempts, but they have struggled to convert, ranking 27th in the league with a 13.9% conversion rate.

Jared Goff threw for 240 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 10 but also had 5 interceptions, finishing with a passer rating of 59. Jahmyr Gibbs led the team with 71 rushing yards on 19 carries, while Sam LaPorta had 3 catches for 66 yards and a touchdown. Detroit scored 13 points in the 4th quarter against Houston, after scoring 7 in the 2nd and 6 in the 3rd.

In their 26-23 win over the Texans, the Lions’ defense was effective against the pass, allowing just 192 yards through the air. They also came up with two interceptions and held Houston to a 57.6% completion rate. Detroit’s run defense was equally impressive, giving up only 56 yards on 28 attempts (2.0 yards per attempt).

The Lions’ defense recorded four sacks in the game and limited Houston to a 40% conversion rate on third down. Despite giving up one passing touchdown, they played well enough to help secure the narrow victory.