Boise State Broncos vs San Jose State Spartans Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24

Boise State is the heavy favorite in this week 12 matchup against San Jose State, with a -13.5 point spread. The game is set for 7:00 ET at CEFCU Stadium in San Jose, and CBSS will be covering the action. The Broncos come in with an 8-1 record, while the Spartans are 6-3 on the season. The over/under line is currently at 61.5 points.

BOISE STATE BRONCOS VS SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Jose State Spartans +13.5

This game will be played at CEFCU Stadium at 7:00 ET on Saturday, November 16th.

WHY BET THE SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS:

• We have the Boise State Broncos winning this one by a score of 36 to 28
• Even though we like the Boise State Broncos to win, our ATS pick is to take the San Jose State Spartans at +13.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 61.5 points

Will The Boise State Broncos Win As Road Favorites?

Boise State heads into Week 12 against San Jose State with an 8-1 record, ranked 21st in our power rankings. They are a lock for bowl eligibility and have a 75.8% chance of winning the Mountain West. Nationally, they have the 9th best odds of making the playoff at 71.0%.

The Broncos have been favored in seven of their nine games, going 7-0 as the favorite. They are 4-0 at home and 3-1 on the road this season, with an average scoring margin of +18.7 points per game. Against the spread, Boise State is 5-2-1.

Boise State’s over/under record is 5-3, with their games averaging 68.9 points. This week’s line is set at 61.5 points, and their average over/under margin is +7.2 points.

Boise State’s offense has been one of the top units in college football this season, ranking 3rd in points per game with 43.8. They are also 5th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. Their rushing attack has been the driving force, averaging 271 yards per game, which is 3rd in the nation. Ashton Jeanty has been a standout, rushing for 1,734 yards and scoring 23 touchdowns, averaging 7 yards per carry. The Broncos have also excelled on third downs, converting 51.3% of their attempts, placing them 5th nationally.

Maddux Madsen leads Boise State’s passing game with 1,908 yards and 18 touchdowns, while throwing just three interceptions. He has a passer rating of 105, and the team ranks 24th in passer rating nationally. Boise State is 63rd in passing attempts per game, averaging 227.7 yards through the air. Madsen has completed 62.4% of his passes. Cameron Camper leads the receivers with 573 yards and four touchdowns.

Boise State’s defense has allowed an average of 25.1 points per game this season, including 21 points in their recent 28-21 win over Nevada. They limited Nevada to 13 first downs and 87 rushing yards but gave up 232 yards through the air.

On the season, Boise State’s defense ranks 25th nationally against the run, allowing just 112.4 rushing yards per game. However, they’ve struggled against the pass, giving up 247.1 yards per game, which ranks 134th in the country.

Are The San Jose State Spartans Going Win In At Upset At CEFCU Stadium

San Jose State enters Week 12 with a 6-3 record, ranked 89th in our power rankings. They are 100% likely to be bowl-eligible but have just a 0.1% chance of winning the Mountain West. The Spartans are 2-2 on the road and 2-0 at home this season.

They’ve been favored in only two games, going 2-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +4.7 points per game, and they are 2-4 against the spread.

This week’s over/under line is 61.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. San Jose State’s over/under record is 1-5, with their games averaging 52.9 points and an average line of 53.3 points.

San Jose State’s offense is averaging 28.8 points per game, placing them 47th in the nation heading into week 12. They are ranked 73rd in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has been their strength, ranking 6th in the nation with 332.3 yards per game, while attempting 41.2 passes per game, 14th most in the country. They are 21st in completions, averaging 23.6 per game, but their completion percentage is 57.1%, ranking 74th. They are also 68th in third down conversions, converting 39.8% of their attempts, and their passer rating is 75th nationally.

Emmett Brown leads the team with 1,621 passing yards and a passer rating of 96. He has thrown 16 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, completing 57.6% of his passes. On the ground, San Jose State is averaging 98 rushing yards per game, ranking 123rd. Floyd Chalk IV leads the rushing attack with 559 yards and 9 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Nick Nash has 86 receptions for 1,156 yards and 13 touchdowns.

San Jose State’s defense is ranked 46th nationally, allowing 24.1 points per game. They’ve given up 153.3 rushing yards per game and 235.9 passing yards, ranking 115th in the nation. Opposing quarterbacks have a 68.8 passer rating against San Jose State, completing 59.1% of their passes.

In their recent game against Oregon State, San Jose State’s defense allowed just 13 points but gave up 474 total yards, including 292 passing yards. They also forced two interceptions in the game.