San Diego State Aztecs vs UNLV Rebels Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24

UNLV comes into this week 12 matchup as the heavy favorite with a -20.5 point spread. Kick-off is set for 10:30 ET on Saturday, November 16th, at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The over/under line is at 54.5 points, and the game will be televised on CBSS. The Aztecs are the road team, and the money line odds have the Rebels at -1412 and the Aztecs at +778. UNLV has a 7-2 record this season, while San Diego State is 3-6.

SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS VS UNLV REBELS BETTING PICK

The Pick: UNLV Rebels -20.5

This game will be played at Allegiant Stadium at 10:30 ET on Saturday, November 16th.

WHY BET THE UNLV REBELS:

• We have the UNLV Rebels winning this one by a score of 41 to 18
• Not only do we have the UNLV Rebels winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -20.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 54.5 points

Will The San Diego State Aztecs Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

San Diego State enters Week 12 with a 3-6 record, holding the 111th spot in our power rankings. They have just a 3.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. On the road, they are 1-3, and they’ve split their home games at 1-3 this season.

Against the spread, the Aztecs are 4-4, with a -5.1 average scoring margin. They are 2-2 ATS at home and on the road, and they’ve been favored in just two of their nine games this year.

The over/under line for this week is 54.5 points. San Diego State’s average over/under line has been 52.2 points, and their games have averaged 48.7 points, with a 3-5 record against the over/under.

San Diego State’s offense is averaging 21.8 points per game heading into week 12, placing them 80th nationally. Our power rankings have them 126th. They are 106th in third down conversions, converting just 34.8% of their attempts, and their rushing game ranks 103rd, averaging 126.2 yards per game.

Quarterback Danny O’Neil has thrown for 1,590 yards, completing 60.8% of his passes, with nine touchdowns and four interceptions. San Diego State is 49th in passing attempts and completions per game. Marquez Cooper leads the rushing attack with 965 yards and nine touchdowns.

San Diego State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 26.9 points per game. In their recent game against New Mexico, they gave up 21 points, including 301 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns, while also allowing 175 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 185.3 rushing yards per game against San Diego State, ranking them 138th nationally. The Aztecs have also allowed 223.7 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 63.8% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 94.7.

Are The UNLV Rebels Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

UNLV enters Week 12 with a 7-2 record, ranked 45th in our CFB power rankings. They are already bowl-eligible and have a 20% chance of winning the Mountain West. The Rebels are 5-0 on the road and 1-1 at home this season.

UNLV has been favored in four games and is 4-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +16 points per game, and they are 4-3 against the spread this season.

The over/under line for this week is 54.5 points. UNLV’s games have averaged 63.6 points, with an average line of 57.7 points. Their over/under record is 3-4, with games averaging 3.1 points over the line.

UNLV’s offense has been impressive this season, ranking 7th in the nation with 39.8 points per game. They are 8th in rushing, averaging 249.8 yards per game on the ground. Jai’Den Thomas leads the rushing attack with 508 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored four touchdowns.

Hajj-Malik Williams, the Rebels’ quarterback, has thrown for 1,192 yards and 13 touchdowns, with just three interceptions. He has a passer rating of 114. Ricky White III has been the top receiver, with 799 yards and 10 touchdowns on 58 catches.

UNLV’s defense has been solid against the run this season, ranking 26th nationally by allowing just 112.6 rushing yards per game. In their recent game against Hawaii, they gave up only 93 rushing yards on 30 attempts. However, the secondary allowed 282 passing yards and three touchdowns, though they did manage to snag an interception.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed 56.4% of their passes against UNLV, with a passer rating of 72.4, the 28th-lowest in the country. On average, UNLV’s defense faces 40.9 pass attempts per game, allowing 271.3 passing yards. They rank 45th nationally, giving up 23.8 points per game.