Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Georgia State Panthers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24

ESPN+ is covering the 5:00 ET kickoff as the Georgia State Panthers host the Arkansas State Red Wolves at Center Parc Stadium in Atlanta. The Panthers are the slight -1.5-point favorites at home, with the over/under line set at 58.5 points. The Red Wolves come in with a 5-4 record, while the Panthers are just 2-7 on the season.

ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES VS GEORGIA STATE PANTHERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves +1.5

This game will be played at Center Parc Stadium at 5:00 ET on Saturday, November 16th.

WHY BET THE ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES:

• We have the Georgia State Panthers winning this one by a score of 27 to 26
• Even though we like the Georgia State Panthers to win, our ATS pick is to take the Arkansas State Red Wolves at +1.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 58.5 points

Will The Arkansas State Red Wolves Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Arkansas State enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record, facing Georgia State. They’ve been strong at home (3-0) but have struggled on the road (1-4). Despite being ranked 115th in our power rankings, they have a 76% chance of becoming bowl-eligible.

The Red Wolves are 3-0 as favorites this season and 1-4 as underdogs. Their average scoring margin is -10.6 points, and they are 3-5 against the spread.

The over/under line for this week is 58.5 points, slightly above their average line of 57.4 points. Arkansas State’s over/under record is 4-4, with their games averaging a -0.9 point differential against the line.

Arkansas State’s offense ranks 98th in our power rankings heading into week 12, averaging 23.4 points per game. They are 23rd in passing attempts, with 36.9 per game, and 25th in completions, averaging 22.8. Overall, they are 56th in passing yards, with 244.1 per game, and 62nd in third-down conversions, converting 40.4% of their attempts.

Jaylen Raynor leads the passing attack with 2,034 yards, completing 61.4% of his passes. He has thrown eight touchdowns and eight interceptions, with a passer rating of 78. Corey Rucker has 776 receiving yards on 53 catches. On the ground, Arkansas State averages 151.1 rushing yards per game.

Arkansas State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 34 points per game, ranking them 87th nationally. In their recent game against Louisiana, they gave up 55 points, including six rushing touchdowns, while allowing 580 total yards, with 279 yards on the ground.

Opponents have averaged 224 rushing yards per game against Arkansas State, while quarterbacks have posted a 91.6 passer rating, completing 65.1% of their passes for an average of 243 yards per game.

Will The Georgia State Panthers Win At Home Over The Arkansas State Red Wolves?

Georgia State heads into Week 12 with a 2-7 record, and they are ranked 107th in our CFB power rankings. The Panthers have no chance of reaching bowl eligibility this season. At home, they are 1-2, while they’ve gone 0-5 on the road.

Georgia State’s average scoring margin this season is -11.1 points per game, and they are 2-5-1 against the spread. They’ve been favored in two games, going 0-2 ATS as the favorite, but they are 2-3-1 against the spread as the underdog.

The over/under line for this week’s game is set at 58.5 points. Georgia State’s games have averaged 52.7 points, and their over/under record is 4-3-1, with an average line of 52.9 points this season.

Georgia State’s offense is averaging 20.8 points per game heading into week 12, ranking 84th in the nation. They are 83rd in our offensive power rankings. The Panthers have relied on their passing game, ranking 18th in passing attempts and 20th in completions, with 245.8 passing yards per game. They are 40th in completion percentage, converting 62.3% of their throws, but have struggled on third downs, converting just 36.9% of their attempts.

Christian Veilleux leads the team with 1,312 passing yards, nine touchdowns, and six interceptions, posting a passer rating of 79. Freddie Brock has rushed for 599 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has three touchdowns. Ted Hurst leads the receiving corps with 606 yards and eight touchdowns on 37 catches.

Georgia State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 31.9 points per game. In their recent game against James Madison, they gave up 38 points, including 452 total yards—211 rushing yards and 241 passing yards, with three passing touchdowns allowed.

Opponents have averaged 205.6 rushing yards per game against Georgia State, while quarterbacks have posted a 98.7 passer rating and completed 62.8% of their passes. Georgia State’s defense has faced the 30th fewest passing attempts in the nation, averaging 26.9 per game, but they’ve still allowed 211.2 passing yards per contest.