Oregon State Beavers vs Air Force Falcons Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24
This article was published on Nov 11, 2024. Today’s picks College Football picks

Oregon State comes into this week 12 non-conference matchup against Air Force as the -4 point favorite on the road. The game is set for 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 16th, at Falcon Stadium in the USAF Academy. The over/under line is currently at 45 points. You can catch this one on CBSS. The Beavers have a 4-5 record, while the Falcons are 2-7 on the season.
OREGON STATE BEAVERS VS AIR FORCE FALCONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Air Force Falcons +4
This game will be played at Falcon Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 16th.
WHY BET THE AIR FORCE FALCONS:
- We have the Air Force Falcons winning this one by a score of 22 to 20
- Not only do we have the Air Force Falcons winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +4
- We see this game finishing below the line of 45 points
Will The Oregon State Beavers Win As Road Favorites?
Oregon State heads into Week 12 against Air Force with a 4-5 record, ranked 90th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 26.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Beavers are 1-3 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.
Oregon State’s ATS record is 2-5, with an average scoring margin of -3 points per game. They are 2-2 ATS as the favorite and 0-3 as the underdog.
Their over/under record stands at 3-3-1, with an average line of 52.4 points. This week’s line is set at 45 points, and their games have averaged 54.6 points.
Oregon State’s offense is built around their rushing attack, ranking 15th in the nation with 216 rushing yards per game. They are 11th in rushing attempts, averaging 43.4 per game. Anthony Hankerson leads the team with 870 rushing yards and has scored 14 touchdowns this season. The Beavers are 17th in third-down conversions, converting 47.1% of their attempts.
Quarterback Gevani McCoy has thrown for 1,279 yards, and Oregon State ranks 99th in passing yards per game. McCoy has two touchdown passes and six interceptions, with a passer rating of 70. Overall, Oregon State is 60th in scoring, averaging 25.8 points per game, and they are ranked 82nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12.
Oregon State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 28.8 points per game. In their recent game against San Jose State, they gave up 24 points and 465 total yards, including 395 passing yards, though they did force one interception.
Opponents have averaged 220.6 passing yards per game against Oregon State, completing 57.4% of their passes. The Beavers rank 128th nationally in rushing defense, allowing 174.6 rushing yards per game on 29.8 attempts per game, which is the 19th fewest in the country.
Are The Air Force Falcons Going Win In At Upset At Falcon Stadium
Air Force enters Week 12 with a 2-7 record, and they are ranked 120th in our CFB power rankings. With no chance of becoming bowl-eligible, they are 1-3 at home this season.
The Falcons have been favored in two of their nine games but have gone 0-2 in those matchups. They have an average scoring margin of -10.4 points per game and are 2-6 against the spread this season.
The over/under line for this week is set at 45 points. Air Force’s over/under record is 4-4, with their games averaging 42.9 points. Their average over/under line this season has been 41.8 points.
Air Force’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 16.2 points per game, which ranks 95th in the nation. They are 124th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. Their passing game has been particularly weak, with only 90 yards per game, placing them 126th nationally. They rank 133rd in passer rating, and their third-down conversion rate is 36.1%.
John Busha leads the team with 415 passing yards but has completed only 36.7% of his passes, throwing one touchdown and five interceptions. Air Force leads the nation in rushing attempts, averaging 53.7 per game, and they are 27th in rushing yards, with 203.9 per game. Dylan Carson has 273 rushing yards this season.
Air Force’s defense has allowed an average of 26.7 points per game this season, including 28 points in their recent win against Fresno State. They gave up 289 passing yards and three touchdowns but limited Fresno State to just -5 rushing yards on 12 attempts.
Opponents have averaged 176.2 rushing yards per game against Air Force, while the secondary has allowed 183.6 passing yards per game, ranking 33rd nationally. Quarterbacks have completed 65.4% of their passes against Air Force, posting a passer rating of 99.8.
