Penn State Nittany Lions vs Purdue Boilermakers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24

At 3:30 ET, Penn State and Purdue will face off at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette. Penn State is the heavy favorite with a -28.5 point spread as they come in with an 8-1 record this season. Purdue, on the other hand, has just one win. The over/under line is currently at 50.5 points for this week 12 college football matchup, which can be seen on CBS.

PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS VS PURDUE BOILERMAKERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Penn State Nittany Lions -28.5

This game will be played at Ross-Ade Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 16th.

WHY BET THE PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS:

• We have the Penn State Nittany Lions winning this one by a score of 39 to 6
• Not only do we have the Penn State Nittany Lions winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -28.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 50.5 points

Will The Penn State Nittany Lions Win As Road Favorites?

Penn State enters Week 12 against Purdue with an 8-1 record, ranked 8th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and an 80.7% chance of making the playoff, which is the 5th highest in the nation.

The Nittany Lions are 5-1 at home and 2-0 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in seven games, going 7-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +17.2 points, and they are 4-4 against the spread.

Penn State’s over/under record is 1-7, with their games averaging 45.2 points. The average over/under line this season is 49.8 points, and this week’s line is set at 50.5 points.

Penn State’s offense is averaging 31.2 points per game heading into week 12, placing them 36th in the nation. However, they rank 10th in our offensive power rankings. Their run game is producing 197.8 yards per game on 37.4 attempts.

Kaytron Allen leads the team with 634 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 4 yards per carry. Quarterback Drew Allar has thrown for 2,006 yards, 13 touchdowns, and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 110.

Penn State’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 6th nationally by allowing just 14 points per game. They’ve been particularly strong against the run, giving up only 103.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks 15th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of just 72.9 and are completing 57.2% of their passes, averaging 169.2 passing yards per game against Penn State’s secondary.

In their latest game, a 35-6 win over Washington, Penn State’s defense allowed just 6 points and 193 total yards. Washington ran the ball 33 times but gained only 74 rushing yards. Through the air, Penn State held Washington to 119 passing yards and forced one interception.

Are The Purdue Boilermakers Going Win In At Upset At Ross-Ade Stadium

Purdue enters Week 12 against Penn State with a 1-8 record, and they have no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are ranked 109th in our power rankings and have gone 0-3 at home this season.

The Boilermakers have been underdogs in all six games this season, with an average scoring margin of -19.8 points per game. They are 0-6 against the spread this year.

Purdue’s over/under record is 3-3, with their games averaging 55.8 points. This week’s line is set at 50.5 points, slightly above their average line of 49.6 points.

Heading into week 12, Purdue’s offense ranks 102nd in our power rankings, averaging just 18 points per game. Their third-down conversion rate is only 33%, and they are 112th in passing yards, with 177.1 yards per game. They are 81st in passing attempts.

Hudson Card leads the team with 1,113 passing yards and a passer rating of 83. He has thrown eight touchdowns and five interceptions. Devin Mockobee has rushed for 612 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Jaron Tibbs has 232 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Purdue’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 37.8 points per game. In their recent 45-0 loss to Ohio State, they gave up 433 total yards, including 260 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air.

Opponents have averaged 201 rushing yards per game against Purdue, ranking them 153rd nationally. The Boilermakers have faced the 29th fewest pass attempts in the country, but they’ve allowed 245.1 passing yards per game, ranking 127th in the nation.