UL Monroe Warhawks vs Auburn Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24

SECN will be covering this week 12 non-conference matchup between the UL Monroe Warhawks and the Auburn Tigers, set to kick off at 12:45 ET from Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn. The over/under line is currently set at 46 points. Auburn is favored by -24 points, and the money line odds stand at -3361 for Auburn and +1166 for ULM. Auburn enters the game with a 3-6 record, while ULM is 5-4 on the season.

UL MONROE WARHAWKS VS AUBURN TIGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Auburn Tigers -24

This game will be played at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 12:45 ET on Saturday, November 16th.

WHY BET THE AUBURN TIGERS:

• We have the Auburn Tigers winning this one by a score of 36 to 10
• Not only do we have the Auburn Tigers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -24
• We see this game finishing below the line of 46 points

Will The UL Monroe Warhawks Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

UL Monroe enters Week 12 against Auburn with a 5-4 record, ranking 106th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 66.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but no shot at the Sun Belt title. The Warhawks are 3-1 at home and 1-3 on the road this season.

Against the spread, UL Monroe is 5-3, with a 3-1 record at home and 2-2 on the road. They’ve been favored in just one game this season, and their average scoring margin is -4.2 points per game.

The over/under line for this week is 46 points. UL Monroe’s games have averaged 47.3 points, with an average line of 48.3 points. Their over/under record stands at 5-3 for the season.

UL Monroe’s offense has leaned on their rushing attack, averaging 178 yards per game on the ground, ranking 53rd nationally. Ahmad Hardy leads the team with 917 rushing yards, nine touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. The Warhawks are 34th in rushing attempts per game, with 37.9.

Overall, UL Monroe is 82nd in scoring, with 21.6 points per game, and they are ranked 106th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Aidan Armenta has thrown for 900 yards, with seven touchdowns and six interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 79. The Warhawks are 124th in passing yards per game, and their third-down conversion rate is 32.8%.

UL Monroe’s defense has allowed an average of 25.8 points per game this season, including 38 points in their recent 38-17 loss to Texas State. The Warhawks gave up 398 total yards, with 326 rushing yards on 54 attempts, while allowing just 72 passing yards on 14 attempts.

Opponents have averaged 171.7 passing yards per game against UL Monroe, ranking 23rd nationally, and have completed 56.5% of their passes. The Warhawks have faced the 27th fewest passing attempts in the country but have struggled against the run, allowing 203.9 rushing yards per game, ranking 155th.

Are The Auburn Tigers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

With a 3-6 record, Auburn faces UL Monroe in Week 12. They are ranked 31st in our power rankings but have just a 2.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, the Tigers are 1-4 this season.

Auburn has been favored in five of their nine games, going 1-4 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +6.1 points, and they are 3-5 against the spread, with a 1-4 record at home.

The over/under line for this week is 46 points. Auburn’s games have averaged 44.6 points, and their over/under record is 2-6, with an average line of 49.9 points.

Heading into week 12, Auburn’s offense ranks 62nd in points per game, averaging 25.3, and they are 70th in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is just 38.5%, placing them 79th nationally. On the ground, they average 169 rushing yards per game.

Payton Thorne leads Auburn’s passing attack with 1,825 yards and a passer rating of 96. He has thrown 13 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Auburn ranks 46th in passing yards per game. Jarquez Hunter leads the rushing game with 913 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. KeAndre Lambert-Smith has 657 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns.

Despite Auburn’s 17-7 loss to Vanderbilt, their defense performed well, giving up just 17 points. They allowed 274 total yards, including 108 rushing yards on 28 attempts and 166 passing yards, while holding Vanderbilt without a passing touchdown.

On the season, Auburn’s defense ranks 17th nationally, allowing 19.2 points per game. They are 24th in the country against the run, giving up just 111 rushing yards per game, and have held opposing quarterbacks to a 54.2% completion rate, the 19th-lowest in the nation.