Ball State Cardinals vs Buffalo Bulls Betting Pick & Prediction 11/12/24
UB Stadium in Buffalo is the site for this week 12 matchup between the Buffalo Bulls and Ball State Cardinals. Kick-off is set for 7:00 ET, and you can catch the action on CBSS. The Bulls are favored by -4.5 points, with the over/under line at 53.5 points. Buffalo enters the game with a 5-4 record, while Ball State is 3-6 on the season.
BALL STATE CARDINALS VS BUFFALO BULLS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Ball State Cardinals +4.5
This game will be played at UB Stadium at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, November 12th.
WHY BET THE BALL STATE CARDINALS:
- We have the Ball State Cardinals winning this one by a score of 30 to 28
- Not only do we have the Ball State Cardinals winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +4.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 53.5 points
Will The Ball State Cardinals Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Ball State enters Week 12 against Buffalo with a 3-6 record, and they have just a 1.3% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Cardinals are ranked 124th in our power rankings and have gone 1-4 on the road this season.
Despite an average scoring margin of -14.2 points, Ball State has a 5-3 record against the spread. They are 3-0 ATS at home and have covered in five of seven games as the underdog.
The Cardinals’ over/under record stands at 6-1-1, with their games averaging 63.6 points. This week’s line is set at 53.5 points, slightly below their average over/under line of 53.9 points.
Ball State’s offense is averaging 24.7 points per game heading into week 12, placing them 99th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 30th in passing attempts, averaging 35.3 per game, and are 24th in completions with 23 per game. Their passing game produces 229.4 yards per game, and they convert 40.8% of their third downs.
Kadin Semonza has thrown for 2,029 yards, completing 65.8% of his passes, with 16 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. His passer rating is 89. On the ground, Ball State averages 107.2 rushing yards per game. Braedon Sloan leads the team with 517 rushing yards, averaging 4 yards per carry, and has scored four touchdowns.
Ball State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 38.9 points per game, ranking them 102nd nationally. In their recent game against Miami (OH), they gave up 27 points, allowing 336 total yards, including 219 passing yards and three passing touchdowns, though they did manage to force an interception.
Opponents have averaged 291.9 passing yards per game against Ball State, completing 64.1% of their passes. On the ground, Ball State’s defense has faced the 22nd fewest rushing attempts nationally but has still allowed 172.3 rushing yards per game.
Are The Buffalo Bulls Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Buffalo enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record and a 2-1 mark at home. They have a 97.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, according to projections. The Bulls are ranked 116th in our power rankings and have a 3.2% chance of winning the Mid-American Conference.
Buffalo is 1-0 as the favorite this season and has been favored in just one game. Their average scoring margin is -4.8 points per game, and they are 3-4 against the spread, going 2-1 ATS at home.
The over/under line for this week is 53.5 points, higher than their average line of 46.7 points. Buffalo’s over/under record is 5-2, with their games averaging 53.2 points per contest.
Buffalo’s offense has struggled this season, ranking 114th in our offensive power rankings and averaging 24.2 points per game, which is 69th in the nation. Their third-down conversion rate is just 30.6%, placing them 119th in the country. They are also 115th in passing yards per game, averaging 174.2 yards, and their quarterback, C.J. Ogbonna, has a passer rating of 87 with 1,527 yards and 10 touchdowns.
Buffalo is 39th in rushing attempts, averaging 37.2 carries per game and 155.6 rushing yards. Al-Jay Henderson leads the team with 562 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored four touchdowns. Victor Snow is the leading receiver with 424 yards and three touchdowns.
Buffalo’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 29 points per game. In their recent matchup against Akron, they gave up 30 points and 452 total yards, including 378 passing yards and four touchdowns through the air, though they did limit Akron to just 74 rushing yards.
Opponents have averaged 154.3 rushing yards per game against Buffalo, while quarterbacks have posted a 92.4 passer rating, averaging 255.4 passing yards per game and completing 62.4% of their throws.