Western Michigan Broncos vs Bowling Green Falcons Betting Pick & Prediction 11/12/24
ESPN2 will be covering the 7:00 ET kickoff between the Bowling Green Falcons and Western Michigan Broncos as they face off at Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green. Both teams are 5-4 on the season, and the Falcons are the -8.5 point favorites at home. The money line odds have the Falcons at -335 and the Broncos at +259, with the over/under line set at 58 points for this week 12 college football matchup.
WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS VS BOWLING GREEN FALCONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Western Michigan Broncos +8.5
This game will be played at Doyt L. Perry Stadium at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, November 12th.
WHY BET THE WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS:
- We have the Western Michigan Broncos winning this one by a score of 31 to 30
- Not only do we have the Western Michigan Broncos winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +8.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 58 points
Will The Western Michigan Broncos Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Western Michigan enters Week 12 against Bowling Green with a 5-4 record, ranked 108th in our power rankings. They have an 86.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. This season, the Broncos are 2-1 at home and 2-3 on the road.
Their average scoring margin is -1.3 points per game, and they are 4-4 against the spread. As favorites, they are 2-1 ATS and 2-0 at home, while their over/under record stands at 6-2, with an average line of 54.2 points.
This week’s over/under line is set at 58 points. Western Michigan’s games have averaged 68 points, with seven games featuring lower lines than this week’s total.
Western Michigan’s offense has been driven by their ground game, averaging 212.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks 21st nationally. Jaden Nixon has rushed for 847 yards, scoring 12 touchdowns, and averaging 7 yards per carry. Overall, the Broncos are scoring 33.3 points per game, placing them 29th in the country, and they are ranked 40th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12.
Quarterback Hayden Wolff has thrown for 1,765 yards with 16 touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 107. Western Michigan ranks 97th in passing yards per game, averaging 197.6 yards, and they are converting 37.5% of their third-down attempts.
Western Michigan’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 34.7 points per game. In their recent game against Northern Illinois, they gave up 42 points, including 258 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns. The defense also allowed 156 passing yards and two touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 183.4 rushing yards per game against Western Michigan, while quarterbacks have posted a 105.6 passer rating and averaged 246.2 passing yards per game, ranking the Broncos 131st in the nation in passing yards allowed.
Are The Bowling Green Falcons Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Bowling Green enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record, ranked 82nd in our power rankings. They have a 96.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 26.2% chance of winning the Mid-American. At home, they are 1-2, while on the road, they hold a 3-2 record.
The Falcons are 3-5 against the spread this season, with a 3-2 record on the road and 0-3 at home. They are 0-5 ATS as the favorite but have gone 3-0 as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is +5.7 points per game.
This week’s over/under line is set at 58 points. Bowling Green’s average over/under line this season is 49.9 points, and their games have averaged 47.7 points, with a 3-5 over/under record.
Bowling Green’s offense is averaging 26.7 points per game heading into week 12, ranking 57th nationally. They are 64th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Connor Bazelak has thrown for 2,022 yards with a passer rating of 98, completing 68.2% of his passes. The Falcons are 41st in completions per game and 54th in passing attempts, averaging 227.8 yards through the air.
Bazelak has thrown 11 touchdowns and 4 interceptions this season. Leading the ground game is Terion Stewart, who has rushed for 679 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and scoring five touchdowns. Malcolm Johnson Jr. leads the receivers with 375 yards and two touchdowns.
Bowling Green’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 27th nationally by allowing just 21 points per game. In their recent game against Central Michigan, they gave up only 13 points and limited the Chippewas to 250 total yards, including 63 passing yards.
Opponents have averaged 168.3 passing yards per game against Bowling Green, the 19th-lowest figure in the country. Quarterbacks have completed 55.1% of their passes against them. However, the Falcons have struggled against the run, allowing 172.4 rushing yards per game, ranking 121st nationally.