Boise State Broncos vs San Francisco Dons NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/9/24

The Broncos and Dons are set to face off at 10:30 ET on ESPN+. The Dons will host the game at War Memorial Gymnasium in San Francisco, CA. In this non-conference matchup, Boise State is favored by -3.5 against San Francisco. The over/under for the game is 148 points.
BOISE STATE BRONCOS VS SAN FRANCISCO DONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Francisco Dons +3.5
This game will be played at War Memorial Gymnasium at 10:30 ET on Saturday, November 9th.
WHY BET THE SAN FRANCISCO DONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-71 in favor of the Dons.
- Not only will San Francisco pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 148 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.
Do the Broncos Stand a Chance in San Francisco?
Boise State Broncos Recent Game/Games
Boise State opened their season with a commanding 87-43 win over Oakland at home on Wednesday. The Broncos, who were -16.5 favorites, easily covered the spread. The game’s total points fell short of the 142.5 O/U line, with the teams combining for 130 points.
Boise State dominated from the start, leading 48-18 at halftime. They continued their strong play in the second half, outscoring Oakland 39-25.
Boise State put up 87 points in their last game, shooting 53.2% from the field and 45% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 61.3%, and they hit 85.7% of their free throws, going 12-for-14 from the line.
The Broncos dished out 23 assists and grabbed 12 offensive rebounds. O’Mar Stanley and Dylan Anderson both shot 85.7% from the field, with Stanley hitting 2-for-2 from three-point range. Andrew Meadow also contributed, hitting 3-of-6 from deep.
Despite Boise State’s defensive struggles, they managed to hold their opponent to 43 points. The Broncos allowed their opponent to shoot 53% from the field, with 33 made baskets on 62 attempts.
Boise State gave up 57% shooting on two-point attempts, with their opponent hitting 24 of 42. From beyond the arc, the opponent shot 45%, making 9 of 20 threes. The Broncos also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 14 times, where they converted 12 for 85%.
Will the Dons Defense Show Up at Home?
San Francisco Dons Recent Game/Games
The Dons picked up an 86-78 win over Cal Poly on Tuesday, November 5th. Playing at home, San Francisco entered the game as heavy favorites, with a -21 point spread, but didn’t cover. The game’s total points went over the pre-game line of 153.5, finishing at 164.
San Francisco led 39-35 at halftime and scored 47 points in the 2nd half while allowing 43. Although they got the win, the Dons’ inability to cover the spread might be a concern moving forward.
San Francisco put up 86 points in their last game, shooting 45.2% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 51.6%, with a strong showing inside, hitting 61.8% of their two-point attempts. From beyond the arc, they struggled, connecting on just 25% of their threes, going 7 for 28.
At the free-throw line, the Dons were solid, making 23 of 28 for 82.1%. Tyrone Riley IV led the way with 26 points, hitting 3 of 9 from deep. Malik Thomas added 23 points, while Jarred Hyder and Owen Koonce each knocked down 4 threes, with Koonce shooting 44.4% from long range.
San Francisco’s defense gave up 78 points, allowing their opponent to shoot 45% from the field with 28 made baskets on 62 attempts. Inside the arc, they struggled to contain the two-point shooting, where their opponent hit 21 of 34 shots, a 61% success rate.
From three-point range, the Dons held their opponent to 25% shooting, with just 7 made threes on 28 attempts. However, they sent them to the free-throw line 28 times, where they converted 23 free throws, shooting 82%. San Francisco also allowed 8 offensive rebounds.