San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/10/24
On the money line, the 49ers are -245 favorites as they head into their week 10 matchup against the Buccaneers. The game, set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 10th at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL, is being televised on FOX. The 49ers are favored by -5.5 on the road, and the over/under line is set at 51 points.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS VS TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Francisco 49ers -5.5
This game will be played at Raymond James Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 10th.
WHY BET THE SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS:
- We have the 49ers winning this one by a score of 31 to 24
- Not only do we have the 49ers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -5.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 51 points
Will The 49ers Win As Road Favorites?
Heading into week 10, the 49ers have a 4-4 record, putting them 3rd in the NFC West. They have a +3.5 scoring margin and are 6th in our NFL power rankings. Our projections give them a 40.4% chance of making the playoffs and a 33.0% chance of winning their division.
San Francisco was favored in all of their games so far, going 4-4 against the spread. In week 8, they covered the 5.5-point spread with a 30-24 win over the Cowboys. The combined scoring of 54 points was enough to hit the over, which was set at 47.5 points.
Heading into week 10, the 49ers are 10th in our offensive power rankings. They are 6th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 26.2, and 2nd in yards per game with 412.4. Despite ranking 19th in passing attempts, they are 4th in passing yards per game, averaging 253.4. On the ground, they are 7th in rushing attempts and 4th in rushing yards, with 159 per game. San Francisco is 6th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 43.3% success rate, and they rank 3rd in red zone attempts, though they are 22nd in red zone conversion percentage at 17.1%.
Brock Purdy bounced back in week 8, posting a passer rating of 114 after a rough outing against the Chiefs in week 7. He threw for 260 yards and a touchdown on 18/26 passing against the Cowboys. George Kittle led the team with 6 catches for 128 yards, while Isaac Guerendo had 85 rushing yards on 14 carries. The 49ers scored 21 points in the 3rd quarter in week 8.
In the 49ers’ 30-24 win over the Cowboys, their defense allowed 236 passing yards on 25 completions. The 49ers defended the run well, allowing just 56 yards on 19 attempts. Despite their strong run defense, they did give up two rushing touchdowns.
However, the 49ers’ defense made some big plays, coming up with two interceptions and holding the Cowboys to a 33.3% third-down conversion rate. They also recorded two sacks and had more quarterback hits and tackles for loss than the Cowboys.
Are The Buccaneers Going Win In At Upset At Raymond James Stadium
After a week 6 win over the Saints, the Buccaneers have now dropped three straight, including a 30-24 loss to the Chiefs in week 9. Tampa Bay was unable to pull off the upset, but they did cover the spread as 8.5-point underdogs. This puts their record at 5-4 ATS this season, and they currently rank 11th in our NFL power rankings.
Despite their losing streak, the Bucs still have a 40.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 19.7% chance of winning the NFC South. They are 2nd in the division with a 4-5 record, including a 1-2 mark in division games. Their O/U record is 7-2, with the over hitting in six straight games.
Heading into week 10, the Buccaneers sit 7th in our offensive power rankings. They are 5th in the NFL in both points per game (28.8) and passing yards per game (250.8) while ranking 6th in passing attempts. On the ground, they average 127 rushing yards per game, which is 10th in the league, despite ranking 22nd in rushing attempts. Tampa Bay has been strong on 3rd down, converting 51.8% of their attempts, which ranks 2nd in the NFL. However, they are 27th in the league in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 9, Baker Mayfield threw for 200 yards and 2 touchdowns, posting a passer rating of 112. Cade Otton led the team with 8 catches for 77 yards and a touchdown, while Bucky Irving had 24 rushing yards on 7 carries. Tampa Bay scored 10 points in the 3rd quarter against the Chiefs, finishing with 24 points in the loss.
In their 30-24 overtime loss to the Chiefs, the Buccaneers’ defense allowed three passing touchdowns and gave up 260 yards through the air. Tampa Bay struggled on third downs, allowing the Chiefs to convert 66.7% of their third down attempts. Despite this, they did manage to sack Patrick Mahomes four times and hit him three more times than the Chiefs hit Tom Brady.
The Buccaneers’ defense also gave up 124 yards on the ground to Kansas City, who had 35 rushing attempts. Overall, the Bucs allowed the Chiefs to complete 77.3% of their passes and finish with 384 total yards in the game.