Minnesota Vikings vs Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Pick & Prediction 11/10/24

The Jaguars, currently at +165 on the money line, will host the Vikings at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville. The Vikings are favored by -4 on the road in this non-conference matchup. Kickoff is at 1:00 ET, and the over/under line is set at 47.5 points. You can watch this week 10 matchup on FOX.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS VS JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Minnesota Vikings -4

This game will be played at EverBank Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 10th.

WHY BET THE MINNESOTA VIKINGS:

• We have the Vikings winning this one by a score of 24 to 18
• Not only do we have the Vikings winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -4
• We see this game finishing below the line of 47.5 points

Will The Vikings Win As Road Favorites?

After two straight losses, the Vikings got back on track in week 9, defeating the Colts 21-13 to improve to 6-2. Minnesota entered the game as 5.5-point favorites and covered the spread with the win. The O/U line was set at 47 points, and the teams combined for 34. So far, the Vikings have a 3-5 O/U record this season.

Heading into week 10, Minnesota has an average scoring margin of +7.4 points per game and ranks 8th in our NFL power rankings. They have a 81.3% chance of making the playoffs and a 12.7% chance of winning the NFC North. Against the spread, the Vikings are 6-2, including a 3-0 record as underdogs.

Heading into week 10, the Vikings rank 13th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 26.1 points per game, which is 8th in the NFL. They are 13th in the league in total yards per game (336.2) and 12th in passing yards per game (222.1), despite ranking 24th in passing attempts. Minnesota is 21st in rushing yards per game, with 114.1, on 27.1 attempts per game. The Vikings have been strong on 3rd down, converting 40.9% of their attempts, which ranks 9th in the NFL, and they lead the league in 1st quarter scoring.

Sam Darnold threw for 290 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 9, completing 28 of 34 passes, but he did have 2 interceptions and was sacked 4 times. Justin Jefferson led the team with 7 catches for 137 yards, while Aaron Jones had 21 carries for 64 yards. The Vikings scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter and 7 in the 4th, converting 6 of 12 3rd downs and 3 of 5 red zone attempts.

Minnesota’s defense was strong in their 21-13 win over the Colts, holding Indianapolis to just 159 yards passing. The Vikings’ secondary didn’t allow a passing touchdown and limited the Colts to a 59.3% completion percentage. They also performed well on third downs, allowing only a 27.3% conversion rate.

Against the run, the Vikings gave up 68 yards on 19 attempts, with Indianapolis finishing the game with 227 total yards. Minnesota’s defense also came away with three sacks and one interception in the game.

Are The Jaguars Going Win In At Upset At EverBank Stadium

Heading into week 10, the Jaguars are 2-7 and rank 26th in our NFL power rankings. They have a 3.3% chance of making the playoffs and a 1.0% chance of winning the AFC South. Jacksonville is 4th in the division with a 1-1 record, and they are 2-4 in conference games. At home, the Jaguars are 2-2, but they are winless on the road at 0-5.

Jacksonville has a -6.3 scoring margin this season, but they are 5-4 against the spread, including three straight ATS wins. In week 9, they covered the spread as 7.5-point underdogs in a 28-23 loss to the Eagles. The over has hit in five straight Jaguars games, and their O/U record is 6-3.

Heading into week 10, the Jaguars are 19th in our offensive power rankings. They sit 17th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.7, and are 21st in yards per game with 320.7. Jacksonville ranks 17th in passing attempts and passing yards per game, with 207.2. In the run game, they are 24th in attempts and 22nd in rushing yards per game, averaging 113.4. On 3rd down, the Jaguars are 27th in the league, converting 31.6% of their attempts, and they are 24th in red zone conversion percentage.

Trevor Lawrence struggled in week 9, posting a passer rating of 40 after throwing for 169 yards and 2 interceptions against the Eagles. Evan Engram led the team with 45 receiving yards, and Travis Etienne Jr. had 24 rushing yards on 3 carries. Before week 9, Lawrence threw for 308 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 8, and he had a 121 passer rating in week 7. The Jaguars have been slow starters, failing to score in the first quarter of their last three games.

In their 28-23 loss to the Eagles, the Jaguars’ defense struggled to stop the run, giving up 237 rushing yards on 46 attempts. Despite this, they did manage to sack the quarterback three times. Against the pass, they allowed just 18 completions for 210 yards, but two of those completions went for touchdowns. Jacksonville also allowed Philadelphia to convert on 52.9% of their third down attempts. The Eagles finished with 447 total yards in the game.