Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack Betting Pick & Prediction 11/9/24
Coming into this week 11 matchup, the NC State Wolfpack are the -3 point favorites as they host the Duke Blue Devils at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh. Kick-off is set for 3:30 ET, and the game can be seen on ACCN. The over/under line is currently 50.5 points. Duke has a 6-3 record on the season, while NC State sits at 5-4.
DUKE BLUE DEVILS VS NC STATE WOLFPACK BETTING PICK
The Pick: NC State Wolfpack -3
This game will be played at Carter-Finley Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 9th.
WHY BET THE NC STATE WOLFPACK:
- We have the NC State Wolfpack winning this one by a score of 32 to 25
- Not only do we have the NC State Wolfpack winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -3
- Look for this game to go over the line of 50.5 points
Will The Duke Blue Devils Pick Up A Win On The Road?
Duke enters Week 11 against NC State with a 6-3 record, but they have no chance of winning the Atlantic Coast. However, they are guaranteed to be bowl-eligible. The Blue Devils are 3-0 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.
Duke has a +4.1 average scoring margin and a 3-2-1 record against the spread. They are 2-1 ATS as the favorite and 1-1-1 as the underdog.
The over/under line for this week is 50.5 points. Duke’s games have averaged 49 points, with their over/under record at 2-4 and an average margin of +2.5 points against the line.
Duke’s offense is averaging 26.6 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 83rd in our offensive power rankings. They have struggled on third downs, converting just 31% of their attempts, and their rushing game is averaging 110.8 yards per game.
Quarterback Maalik Murphy has thrown for 2,121 yards and 20 touchdowns this season, but he also has 8 interceptions and a passer rating of 89. Duke is 18th in passing attempts, averaging 35.8 per game. Jordan Moore leads the team with 556 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns.
Despite ranking 46th nationally by allowing 22.4 points per game this season, Duke’s defense gave up 53 points in their recent loss to Miami. They allowed 530 total yards, including 400 passing yards and five touchdowns through the air, though they did manage to force one interception.
Opponents have averaged 157.2 rushing yards per game against Duke, ranking them 98th in the country. The defense has faced the 100th most rushing attempts nationally and allowed a 57.6% completion rate, ranking 42nd, with a passer rating of 73.3, which is 27th best in the nation.
Will The NC State Wolfpack Win At Home Over The Duke Blue Devils?
NC State enters Week 11 with a 5-4 record, hosting Duke. They are 3-3 at home this season and rank 70th in our power rankings. The Wolfpack have a 70.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but have no shot at winning the Atlantic Coast, according to projections.
NC State’s ATS record stands at 2-6, with a -1.1 average scoring margin. They are 1-5 against the spread at home and 1-3 as the favorite this season.
Their over/under record is 6-2, with an average total of 60.4 points per game. The average over/under line for NC State games is 49.2 points, compared to this week’s line of 50.5.
NC State’s offense is averaging 29.7 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 45th nationally. In our offensive power rankings, they are 90th. They are 41st in passing attempts per game, averaging 30.7, and 37th in passing yards, with 246.7 per game. They rank 24th in completions, with 21 per game, and are 12th in completion percentage at 68.5%.
CJ Bailey has thrown for 1,609 yards, completing 69.5% of his passes, with 11 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 106. NC State is 33rd in passer rating nationally. On the ground, they average 127.3 rushing yards per game. Jordan Waters leads the team with 375 rushing yards and four touchdowns. KC Concepcion has 47 catches for 394 yards and five touchdowns.
NC State’s defense has allowed 30.8 points per game this season, ranking 84th nationally. In their recent game against Stanford, they gave up 28 points, allowing 16 first downs and 398 total yards, including 225 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns. Stanford also threw for 173 yards, completing 9 of 16 passes, with NC State forcing one interception.
Opponents have averaged 233.4 passing yards per game against NC State, ranking 110th in the country, and completed 60.6% of their passes. The defense has faced an average of 31.6 rushing attempts per game, allowing 155.7 rushing yards per contest.