Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs Providence Friars NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/4/24
Planning on watching today’s Blue Devils and Friars game? Catch the action at Amica Mutual Pavilion in Providence, RI, as the Friars hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on FS1. The over/under for this game is set at 136 points, and Providence is favored by -17 against Central Connecticut State in a non-conference matchup.
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE BLUE DEVILS VS PROVIDENCE FRIARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils +17
This game will be played at Amica Mutual Pavilion at 7:00 ET on Monday, November 4th.
WHY BET THE CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE BLUE DEVILS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-69 in favor of the Friars.
- Even though we have Providence winning straight-up, we like Central Connecticut State at +17.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 136 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.
Does Central Connecticut State Stand a Chance on the Road?
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils Records
Central Connecticut State finished last season with an 18-11 overall record, going 14-4 in Northeast Conference play. They were 9-4 at home and 9-7 on the road.
Against the spread, the Blue Devils were 16-11, including a 12-3 mark on the road. As underdogs, they went 9-3 ATS, and their games averaged 138.6 points, with a 14-15 over/under record.
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils Offense Stats
Central Connecticut State averaged 72.2 points per game last season, ranking 261st in possessions per game with 64. They shot 45% from the field (182nd in D1) and had a 50% effective field goal percentage (211th). The Blue Devils made 6.7 three-pointers per game, shooting 32% from beyond the arc, which ranked 283rd. They attempted 20.8 threes per game, ranking 232nd in attempts.
Central Connecticut State made 13.2 free throws per game, ranking 220th. Guard Jordan Jones returns after averaging 13.1 points, 3.6 assists, and 3.5 rebounds last season. Center Jayden Brown also returns, having averaged 8.4 points and 4.7 rebounds per game.
Central Connecticut State was one of the better defensive teams in the country last season, allowing just 66.5 points per game, which ranked 38th nationally. They also limited opponents to 14.5 free throws per game, placing them 33rd in that category. The Blue Devils averaged 7.5 steals per game, ranking 81st in the nation, and were 27th in blocked shots, with 4.8 per game.
However, Central Connecticut State struggled to defend the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot 32.2% from beyond the arc, which ranked 219th nationally.
Will the Friars Live Up to Expectations at Home?
Providence Friars Records
Providence finished last season with a 21-13 record, going 12-11 in Big East play. At home, they posted a 15-5 mark, with an average scoring margin of +7.8 points per game. On the road, they were 6-8, with a -1.7 points per game margin.
Against the spread, the Friars were 20-14, including a 10-4 record on the road. As underdogs, they went 10-5 ATS. Their average over/under line was 141.7 points, and their games averaged 141.8 points per game, resulting in a 15-19 O/U record.
Providence averaged 72.9 points per game last season, ranking 156th in possessions per game with 66.5. They shot 44% from the field, placing 218th, and had an effective field goal percentage of 51%, ranking 162nd. The Friars were 69th in two-point shooting at 53% but struggled from beyond the arc, making 32% of their threes, ranking 290th. They attempted 25.5 threes per game, making 8.4, which ranked 39th and 89th, respectively. Providence also averaged 13.3 made free throws per game, ranking 216th.
Wesley Cardet Jr. is the Friars’ top returning scorer, having averaged 18.1 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 2.6 assists per game last season. Jabri Abdur-Rahim also returns after averaging 11.8 points and 3.4 rebounds per game.
Providence allowed 69.0 points per game last season, ranking 84th in the nation. They struggled to defend the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot 33.9%, which ranked 332nd. The Friars also gave up 16.7 free throws per game, placing them 98th in the country.
Providence averaged 6.4 steals per game, ranking 183rd nationally. They were more effective in blocking shots, averaging 4.6 per game, which was 42nd in the country.