Elon Phoenix vs North Carolina Tar Heels NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/4/24

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Phoenix versus the Tar Heels? Tip off is at at 9:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ACC. The game will be played at Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, NC. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 152.5 points, and North Carolina is favored by -28.5 at home against Elon.

ELON PHOENIX VS NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Elon Phoenix +28.5

This game will be played at Dean E. Smith Center at 9:00 ET on Monday, November 4th.

WHY BET THE ELON PHOENIX:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Tar Heels.
  • Even though we have North Carolina winning straight-up, we like Elon at +28.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Will Elon Shock Everyone at Dean E. Smith Center?

Elon Phoenix Records

Last season, Elon finished with an 11-19 record, going 6-13 in Coastal Athletic Association play. At home, they were 6-7, with an average scoring margin of -2.9 points, and on the road, they went 5-12, losing by an average of 8.3 points per game.

Against the spread, the Phoenix were 12-18, with a 6-14 record as underdogs. As favorites, they went 8-2 straight-up and 6-4 ATS. Their over/under record was 17-12-1, with their games averaging 146.5 points per game.

Elon Phoenix Offense Stats

Elon averaged 73.1 points per game last season, ranking 89th in possessions per game at 63.8. They shot 44% from the field, placing 241st, with an effective field goal percentage of 52% (178th). The Phoenix made 8.6 three-pointers per game, shooting 35% from beyond the arc, ranking 125th in three-point percentage.

Elon attempted 24.4 threes per game, ranking 78th in attempts, and made 13 free throws per game, placing 241st in that category.

Elon Phoenix Top Returning Offensive Players

TK Simpkins: G

  • Games: 29 (Last Year)
  • PPG: 13.8 (Last Year)
  • Assists: 3.1 (Last Year)
  • Rebounds: 4.7 (Last Year)

Sam Sherry: F

  • Games: 31 (Last Year)
  • PPG: 9.5 (Last Year)
  • Assists: 1.3 (Last Year)
  • Rebounds: 4.7 (Last Year)

Elon struggled defensively last season, allowing 75.4 points per game, which ranked 258th in the country. Opponents shot 32.2% from three-point range against them, placing Elon 218th in that category.

They were better at limiting free throws, allowing 16.3 per game, ranking 80th nationally. Elon averaged 6.3 steals per game, ranking 201st, and had 2.7 blocked shots per game, placing them 300th in the country.

Will the Tar Heels Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

North Carolina Tar Heels Records

North Carolina finished last season with a 27-7 overall record, going 19-4 in ACC play. At home, they were 18-3, with an average scoring margin of +15.3 points. On the road, they went 9-4, winning by an average of 4.6 points per game.

Against the spread, the Tar Heels were 19-15, including an 8-5 mark on the road. They were 25-6 straight-up when favored, covering in 17 of those games. Their over/under record was 17-17, with their games averaging 151.7 points per game.

North Carolina averaged 81.5 points per game last season, ranking 161st in possessions per game (67.4). They shot 45% from the field, placing 194th in field goal percentage and 196th in effective field goal percentage (51%). The Tar Heels made 7.9 three-pointers per game, shooting 35% from beyond the arc, good for 127th nationally. They were 16th in free throws made per game (17.4).

RJ Davis returns after averaging 21.4 points, 3.5 assists, and 3.8 rebounds per game last season. Cade Tyson also returns, having averaged 16.2 points and 5.9 rebounds per game.

North Carolina allowed 70.2 points per game last season, which ranked 117th in the country. Opponents shot 30.9% from 3-point range against them, placing the Tar Heels 136th nationally. They also gave up 17.5 free throws per game, ranking 131st.

In terms of defensive playmaking, North Carolina averaged 5.8 steals per game, ranking 278th in the nation. They were more effective in blocking shots, averaging 4 per game, which ranked 85th.