Elon Phoenix vs North Carolina Tar Heels NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/4/24
The Phoenix and Tar Heels are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ACC. The Tar Heels will host the game at Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, NC. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 152.5 points, and North Carolina is favored by -28.5 vs. Elon.
ELON PHOENIX VS NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Elon Phoenix +28.5
This game will be played at Dean E. Smith Center at 9:00 ET on Monday, November 4th.
WHY BET THE ELON PHOENIX:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Tar Heels.
- Even though we have North Carolina winning straight-up, we like Elon at +28.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 152.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.
Does Elon Have a Shot at a Road Win?
Elon Phoenix Records
Elon finished last season with an 11-19 overall record, going 6-13 in Coastal Athletic Association play. At home, they posted a 6-7 mark, with an average scoring margin of -2.9 points per game. On the road, they went 5-12, losing by an average of 8.3 points per game.
Against the spread, the Phoenix were 12-18, and they had a 17-12-1 over/under record. Their games averaged 146.5 points, and their average over/under line was 146.3 points. As the favorite, they went 8-2 straight-up and 6-4 ATS, while as the underdog, they were 3-17 straight-up and 6-14 ATS.
Elon Phoenix Offense Stats
Elon averaged 73.1 points per game last season, ranking 89th in possessions per game with 63.8. They shot 44% from the field, placing 241st, and had an effective field goal percentage of 52%, ranking 178th. The Phoenix made 8.6 three-pointers per game, ranking 70th, and shot 35% from beyond the arc, placing 125th.
Elon Phoenix Top Returning Offensive Players
TK Simpkins returns after averaging 13.8 points, 3.1 assists, and 4.7 rebounds per game last season. Sam Sherry, who played in 31 games, averaged 9.5 points and 4.7 rebounds per game.
Elon struggled defensively last season, allowing 75.4 points per game, which ranked 258th in the nation. Opponents shot 32.2% from three-point range against them, placing Elon 218th in that category. They were better at limiting free throws, allowing 16.3 per game, which ranked 80th nationally.
Elon averaged 6.3 steals per game, ranking 201st, and blocked 2.7 shots per game, which was 300th in the country.
Will North Carolina Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?
North Carolina Tar Heels Records
North Carolina finished last season with a 27-7 record, going 19-4 in ACC play. At home, they posted an 18-3 mark, winning by an average of 15.3 points per game. On the road, they were 9-4 with a +4.6 scoring margin.
Against the spread, the Tar Heels went 19-15, including an 8-5 record on the road. As favorites, they were 25-6 straight-up and 17-14 ATS. Their over/under record was 17-17, with their games averaging 151.7 points per game.
North Carolina averaged 81.5 points per game last season, ranking 16th nationally in free throws made per game (17.4). The Tar Heels were 127th in three-point percentage (35%), making 7.9 threes per game. They attempted 22.4 threes per game, ranking 155th. UNC was 194th in field goal percentage (45%) and 196th in effective field goal percentage (51%).
RJ Davis returns after averaging 21.4 points, 3.5 assists, and 3.8 rebounds per game last season. Cade Tyson, who averaged 16.2 points and 5.9 rebounds, also returns for the Tar Heels.
Last season, the Tar Heels allowed 70.2 points per game, ranking 117th in the nation. Opponents shot 30.9% from three-point range against them, placing North Carolina 136th in that category. They also gave up 17.5 free throws per game, ranking 131st.
North Carolina averaged 5.8 steals per game, ranking 278th nationally. They were 85th in blocked shots, averaging 4 per game.