Las Vegas Raiders vs Cincinnati Bengals Betting Pick & Prediction 11/3/24

The Bengals are heavily favored in their week nine matchup against the Raiders, with their money line odds at -359. The game, set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, will be televised on FOX. The Raiders’ money line odds are +287, and they are +7.5 point underdogs on the road. The over/under line is 46.5 points.

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS VS CINCINNATI BENGALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -7.5

This game will be played at Paycor Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd.

WHY BET THE CINCINNATI BENGALS:

• We have the Bengals winning this one by a score of 28 to 16
• Not only do we have the Bengals winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -7.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 46.5 points

Will The Raiders Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Heading into week 9, the Raiders are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, which includes a 27-20 home loss to the Chiefs in week 8. Las Vegas was able to cover the 8.5-point spread, but the 47 combined points were enough to hit the over (43.0). This puts the Raiders’ O/U record at 5-3 this season.

Las Vegas currently ranks 28th in our NFL power rankings and has just a 2.6% chance of making the playoffs. They are 2-6 overall and 0-3 in the division, putting them 4th in the AFC West. Against the spread, the Raiders are 4-4, including 4-3 as underdogs.

The Raiders are currently ranked 32nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 26th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18, and 27th in yards per game with 288.1. Las Vegas ranks 6th in passing attempts per game (35.8), but they are only 17th in passing yards per game (209.1). On the ground, they are 23rd in rushing attempts and 31st in rushing yards, averaging 79 per game. The Raiders are converting 33% of their third-down attempts, which ranks 24th in the league, but they are 10th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 8, Gardner Minshew threw for 209 yards and 2 touchdowns, completing 24 of 30 passes against the Chiefs. He was sacked 5 times in the game. Alexander Mattison struggled, rushing for just 15 yards on 14 carries, while Brock Bowers led the team with 5 receptions for 58 yards. The Raiders scored 7 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters, converting 6 of 13 third-down attempts and 2 of 4 red zone opportunities.

In the Raiders’ 27-20 loss to the Chiefs, their defense allowed a 71.1% completion rate on 27 completions for 252 yards. The Raiders struggled on third downs, allowing the Chiefs to convert 75% of their attempts. They did come up with one interception but allowed two passing touchdowns. Additionally, the Raiders’ defense managed just one sack and had a tackles for loss differential of -4.

On the ground, the Raiders fared better, giving up only 82 yards on 29 attempts, an average of just 2.8 yards per attempt. Overall, the Chiefs finished with 334 total yards against Las Vegas.

Are The Bengals Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

After winning three straight, the Bengals couldn’t keep the momentum going in week 8, falling 37-17 at home to the Eagles. Cincinnati was favored by 2.5 points but couldn’t get the job done, dropping their record to 3-5. They are now 0-4 at home this season, but they’ve been much better on the road, going 3-1.

Heading into week 9, our power rankings have the Bengals 19th, and they have a 25.7% chance of making the playoffs. Against the spread, they are 4-4, with an average scoring margin of -1. Their O/U record is 5-3, with their games averaging 49.8 points per game.

Heading into week 9, the Bengals are 17th in the NFL in yards per game (325.2) and 11th in points per game, averaging 24.4. Joe Burrow threw for 234 yards (26/37) with 1 touchdown and 1 interception in week 8, after posting a passer rating of 108 in week 7 and 89 in week 6. Cincinnati ranks 5th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage (45.9%).

In week 8, the Bengals scored 10 points in the first half and were shut out in the 4th quarter. They rushed for 58 yards on 20 carries, with Chase Brown leading the way with 32 yards on 12 carries. Mike Gesicki had 7 receptions for 73 yards in week 8, while Tee Higgins, who is questionable for week 9, had 82 yards on 4 catches in week 7 and 77 yards in week 6.

In their 37-17 loss to the Eagles, the Bengals’ defense struggled to generate pressure, as they failed to record a sack and had a negative QB hit differential of -3. Despite allowing just 16 completions, Philadelphia finished with 236 passing yards and averaged 11.8 yards per attempt. Cincinnati’s run defense also had a tough outing, giving up 161 yards on 39 attempts.

Opposing offenses are finding success on third downs against the Bengals, as the Eagles converted 54.5% of their third down attempts in the most recent game. Cincinnati will need to improve in these situations to get off the field and give their offense more opportunities.