Houston Texans vs New York Jets Betting Pick & Prediction 10/31/24

AMZN is set to televise the week nine AFC matchup between the Texans and Jets. The Jets are the favorite with a money line of -128 and are -2 point favorites on the point spread. This one kicks off at 8:15 ET on Thursday, October 31st at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. The over/under line is set at 42 points.

HOUSTON TEXANS VS NEW YORK JETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Texans +2

This game will be played at MetLife Stadium at 8:15 ET on Thursday, October 31st.

WHY BET THE HOUSTON TEXANS:

• We have the Texans winning this one by a score of 20 to 18
• Not only do we have the Texans winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2
• We see this game finishing below the line of 42 points

Will The Texans Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Heading into week 9, the Texans sit atop the AFC South with a 6-2 record, including a 3-0 mark in division play. After a week 7 loss to the Packers, Houston bounced back with a 23-20 win over the Colts in week 8. The Texans were favored by 5 points at home, but couldn’t cover the spread. Their ATS record now stands at 3-5.

Our projections give the Texans a 94.9% chance of making the playoffs and an 83.2% chance of winning the AFC South. They rank 13th in our NFL power rankings. So far, Houston’s O/U record is 2-6, with the under hitting in their last two games.

Heading into week 9, the Texans are 17th in our offensive power rankings, scoring 23.5 points per game, which ranks 14th in the NFL. They are 9th in yards per game with 351.4 and 8th in passing yards per game, averaging 232.5 on 35 attempts. Joe Mixon has been a consistent performer, rushing for 102 yards on 25 carries in week 8, following a 115-yard game in week 7 and a 102-yard effort in week 6.

C.J. Stroud threw for 285 yards and a touchdown in week 8, completing 25 of 37 passes. The Texans have been strong early in games, ranking 3rd in first-quarter scoring. However, they are 21st in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 9th in red zone attempts.

In the Texans’ 23-20 win over the Colts, their defense allowed just 140 passing yards on 10 completions. They also picked off one pass and limited Indianapolis to a 31.2% completion rate. Despite this, the Texans struggled to stop the run, giving up 163 yards on just 26 attempts, allowing a high 6.3 yards per attempt.

Houston’s defense was tough on third downs, allowing the Colts to convert just 15.4% of their third down attempts. They also recorded five sacks in the game.

Will The Jets Win At Home Over The Texans?

Heading into week 9, the Jets are looking to snap a five-game losing streak that includes a 25-22 loss to the Patriots in week 8. New York was a 7-point favorite in that game, but they couldn’t get the win at home, dropping their record to 2-6. The Jets now sit 4th in the AFC East and 15th in the conference. Our projections give them a 9.7% chance of making the playoffs and just a 1% chance of winning the division.

New York is 2-6 against the spread this season, with five straight ATS losses. Their average scoring margin is -2.5 points per game. The over has hit in three consecutive Jets games, including week 8, when they and the Patriots combined for 47 points, surpassing the 41-point line.

Heading into week 9, the Jets rank 20th in our offensive power rankings. They are 25th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.8, and 23rd in total yards per game with 310.6. New York leans heavily on the passing game, ranking 4th in the league in pass attempts per game (36.5) and 12th in passing yards per game (224.5). On the ground, they rank 30th in rushing yards per game, with 86.1, on 22.1 attempts per game.

Aaron Rodgers posted a passer rating of 111 in week 8, throwing for 233 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception. Breece Hall had 80 rushing yards on 16 carries, while Garrett Wilson led the team with 113 receiving yards on 5 catches. The Jets scored 6 points in the 4th quarter and converted 40% of their 3rd downs in week 8.

In their 25-22 loss to the Patriots, the Jets’ defense allowed just 136 passing yards on 18 completions. New York’s defense was tough to move the ball against, as the Patriots managed only 247 total yards. The Jets’ run defense allowed 111 yards on 31 attempts, with New England averaging 3.6 yards per attempt.

Despite the good performance, the Jets’ defense allowed the Patriots to convert on 46.7% of their third down attempts. New York also recorded two sacks and didn’t allow any passing touchdowns.