Kansas State Wildcats vs Houston Cougars Betting Pick & Prediction 11/2/24

Kansas State is the heavy favorite in this week 10 matchup against Houston, with the point spread set at -12.5 in their favor. The game is scheduled for 3:30 ET at TDECU Stadium in Houston, and FOX will be handling the television broadcast. The over/under line is currently 46.5 points. The Wildcats come in with a 7-1 record, while Houston is 3-5 on the season.

KANSAS STATE WILDCATS VS HOUSTON COUGARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Cougars +12.5

This game will be played at TDECU Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 2nd.

WHY BET THE HOUSTON COUGARS:

• We have the Kansas State Wildcats winning this one by a score of 23 to 18
• Even though we like the Kansas State Wildcats to win, our ATS pick is to take the Houston Cougars at +12.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 46.5 points

Will The Kansas State Wildcats Win As Road Favorites?

With a 7-1 record, Kansas State is ranked 18th in our CFB power rankings. They are 100% likely to be bowl-eligible and have a 23.4% chance of winning the Big 12. The Wildcats also have a 38.4% chance of making the CFB playoff, which is the 15th best odds in the country.

Kansas State has been favored in seven of their eight games this season, going 6-1 as the favorite. They have a +11.4 average scoring margin but are 3-4 against the spread.

The over/under line for this week’s game is 46.5 points. Kansas State’s games have averaged 54.1 points, with their average over/under line at 54.9 points.

Kansas State’s offense is built around their rushing attack, ranking 7th nationally with 224.6 rushing yards per game. DJ Giddens leads the team with 945 rushing yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored four touchdowns. The Wildcats are 30th in scoring, putting up 32.8 points per game, and we have them ranked 24th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10.

Avery Johnson has thrown for 1,654 yards and 16 touchdowns, with five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 101. Kansas State is 66th in passing attempts per game, averaging 211.2 yards through the air. Jayce Brown leads the receivers with 518 yards and three touchdowns on 30 catches.

Kansas State’s defense has allowed 21.4 points per game this season, ranking 39th nationally. In their last game, they gave up 27 points to Kansas, allowing 401 total yards, including 192 rushing yards and 209 passing yards, while forcing one interception.

Opponents have averaged 245.1 passing yards per game against Kansas State, ranking 129th nationally, and 107.6 rushing yards per game, which is the 23rd-lowest in the country. Quarterbacks have completed 62.4% of their passes against Kansas State’s defense.

Are The Houston Cougars Going Win In At Upset At TDECU Stadium

Houston enters Week 10 with a 3-5 record, ranked 86th in our power rankings. Their chances of becoming bowl-eligible are at just 3.7%. At home, they are 2-2, while their road record stands at 1-3 this season.

Against the spread, Houston is 4-4, with a 2-2 mark at home. They’ve been favored in two games, going 1-1 ATS as the favorite and 3-3 as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is -8.2 points per game.

Houston’s over/under record is 1-7, with their games averaging 36.5 points. This week’s line is set at 46.5 points, slightly below their average over/under line of 46.8 points.

Heading into week 10, Houston’s offense ranks 112th in our power rankings, scoring just 14.1 points per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 27.8%, and they are 121st in passing yards, averaging 153.4 per game. Donovan Smith has thrown for 867 yards with a passer rating of 68, tossing four touchdowns against eight interceptions.

Smith has completed 65.4% of his passes, and Houston ranks 32nd in rushing attempts, averaging 147.9 yards per game on the ground. Re’Shaun Sanford II leads the rushing attack with 294 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Stephon Johnson is the top receiver with 223 yards and two touchdowns.

Houston’s defense has been solid this season, allowing an average of 22.4 points per game. In their recent win against Utah, they gave up just 14 points, allowing 12 first downs and 306 total yards. Utah ran the ball 26 times for 90 yards and threw for 216 yards, with Houston forcing one interception.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged a 94.1 passer rating and 179.1 passing yards per game against Houston, ranking them 28th in the nation. The defense has faced the 28th fewest pass attempts in the country, while also allowing 140.6 rushing yards per game.