TCU Horned Frogs vs Baylor Bears Betting Pick & Prediction 11/2/24

ESPN2 will be covering the TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears matchup, set to kick off at 8:00 ET from McLane Stadium in Waco. Baylor is the -3 point favorite at home, with the over/under line currently at 64.5 points. The Bears are 4-4 on the season, while TCU comes in with a 5-3 record. The money line odds are sitting at +131 for TCU and -157 for Baylor.

TCU HORNED FROGS VS BAYLOR BEARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baylor Bears -3

This game will be played at McLane Stadium at 8:00 ET on Saturday, November 2nd.

WHY BET THE BAYLOR BEARS:

• We have the Baylor Bears winning this one by a score of 32 to 26
• Not only do we have the Baylor Bears winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -3
• We see this game finishing below the line of 64.5 points

Will The TCU Horned Frogs Pick Up A Win On The Road?

TCU enters Week 10 against Baylor with a 5-3 record, ranked 51st in our power rankings. They have a 94.8% chance of reaching bowl eligibility but only a 0.4% chance to win the Big 12. On the road, TCU is 3-1, while they are 1-2 at home this season.

The Horned Frogs are 2-5 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +4.2 points per game. They are 0-5 ATS as favorites but 2-0 as underdogs.

TCU’s over/under record is 5-2, with their games averaging 60.8 points. This week’s line is set at 64.5 points, higher than their average line of 58.1 points.

Heading into week 10, TCU’s offense is 31st in points per game, averaging 32.5, and we have them ranked 44th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 5th nationally with 333 yards per game. They are 10th in passing attempts, averaging 39.6 per game, and 5th in completions, with 26.5 per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 43.3%, and they are 27th in passer rating.

Josh Hoover leads the team with 2,614 passing yards and a passer rating of 102. He has completed 66.3% of his passes, throwing 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Jack Bech has 825 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns on 46 catches. TCU’s run game has struggled, averaging just 107.2 yards per game.

TCU’s defense has allowed an average of 28.2 points per game this season, including 34 points in their recent 35-34 win over Texas Tech. They gave up 438 total yards, with 180 rushing yards on 50 attempts and 258 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 168.8 rushing yards per game against TCU, ranking 116th nationally. However, TCU’s pass defense is ranked 24th, allowing just 173.8 passing yards per game and a 58.1% completion rate.

Will The Baylor Bears Win At Home Over The TCU Horned Frogs?

Baylor enters Week 10 with a 4-4 record, ranked 43rd in our CFB power rankings. They have a 76.3% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but no shot at the Big 12 title. At home, the Bears are 2-1, while they’ve gone 1-2 on the road this season.

Against the spread, Baylor is 4-2, with a +7.2 average scoring margin. They’ve covered 2-1 at home and 2-1 on the road. As favorites, they are 2-1 ATS this season.

This week’s over/under line is 64.5, the highest for Baylor this season. Their over/under record is 4-2, with an average line of 51.4 points and an average total of 59 points per game.

Heading into week 10, Baylor’s offense is averaging 33.1 points per game, ranking 28th nationally. They are 45th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Sawyer Robertson has thrown for 1,541 yards, completing 60.1% of his passes, with 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 106.

Baylor ranks 54th in passing attempts per game, averaging 233.4 yards through the air. They are converting 38.1% of their third downs. On the ground, they average 176.2 rushing yards per game. Bryson Washington leads the team with 380 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Josh Cameron has 365 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns.

Heading into their matchup with TCU, Baylor’s defense is allowing 25.9 points per game. They rank 87th nationally in rushing yards allowed, giving up 151 yards per game on 40 attempts per contest. Through the air, opposing quarterbacks have averaged 215.8 passing yards per game, completing 54.6% of their throws, which ranks Baylor’s defense 19th in the nation in completion percentage allowed.

In their recent game against Oklahoma State, Baylor’s defense gave up 28 points but limited the Cowboys to just 74 rushing yards on 34 attempts. However, they allowed 359 passing yards on 42 attempts, while also forcing one interception.