Arizona Wildcats vs UCF Knights Betting Pick & Prediction 11/2/24

UCF is the -6.5 point favorite as they host the Arizona Wildcats at FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando. Kick-off is set for 3:30 ET, and the game will be broadcast on FS1. Both teams come in with a 3-5 record this season, and the over/under line is currently at 55.5 points. The money line odds are +188 for Arizona and -231 for UCF. This week 10 matchup is a big one for both teams as they look to get back to .500 on the season.

ARIZONA WILDCATS VS UCF KNIGHTS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Wildcats +6.5

This game will be played at FBC Mortgage Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 2nd.

WHY BET THE ARIZONA WILDCATS:

• We have the UCF Knights winning this one by a score of 32 to 28
• Even though we like the UCF Knights to win, our ATS pick is to take the Arizona Wildcats at +6.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 55.5 points

Will The Arizona Wildcats Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Arizona enters Week 10 against UCF with a 3-5 record, ranked 70th in our CFB power rankings. They have an 18.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Wildcats are 1-2 on the road and 1-3 at home this season.

Arizona’s ATS record is 1-6, with an average scoring margin of -4.6 points per game. They are 0-4 against the spread as the favorite and 1-2 as the underdog.

The over/under line for this week is 55.5 points. Arizona’s games have averaged 51.4 points, while their average over/under line has been 55.6 points, with a margin of -1.5 points.

Arizona’s offense is ranked 80th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10, and they are averaging 23.4 points per game, which ranks 73rd nationally. Their third-down conversion rate is 38.1%, and their rushing game is producing 129.9 yards per game.

Noah Fifita has thrown for 2,068 yards this season, with 11 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Arizona ranks 19th in passing attempts per game. Tetairoa McMillan leads the receiving corps with 982 yards and five touchdowns.

Arizona’s defense has allowed an average of 28 points per game this season, ranking 73rd nationally. In their recent game against West Virginia, they gave up 31 points, including 207 rushing yards and 198 passing yards.

Opponents are averaging 156.1 rushing yards per game on 33.1 attempts against Arizona. Through the air, quarterbacks have posted a 93.2 passer rating, completing 61.7% of their passes for an average of 214.8 yards per game.

Are The UCF Knights Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

UCF enters Week 10 with a 3-5 record, facing Arizona at home. They are ranked 44th in our power rankings, with a 41.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, UCF is 1-3 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.

The Knights have been favored in four of their eight games, going 1-3 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +3.2 points per game, and they are 3-4 against the spread, with a 2-1 road ATS record and a 1-3 mark at home.

UCF’s over/under record is 5-2, with their games averaging 57.5 points. The average over/under line for their games has been 57.1 points, and this week’s line is set at 55.5 points.

UCF’s offense has been driven by their rushing attack, ranking 2nd in the nation with 267.9 rushing yards per game. They are 3rd in rushing attempts, averaging 44.6 per game. RJ Harvey has rushed for 1,017 yards and 13 touchdowns, averaging 6 yards per carry. UCF is 42nd in scoring, with 30.4 points per game, and we have them 49th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10.

KJ Jefferson leads the passing game with 1,012 yards and seven touchdowns, but UCF ranks 99th in passing yards per game. Jefferson has four interceptions and a passer rating of 96. Kobe Hudson has 509 receiving yards and three touchdowns this season.

UCF’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 27.1 points per game. In their latest game, a 37-24 loss to BYU, they gave up 37 points and 483 total yards, including 255 rushing yards and 228 yards through the air.

Opponents have averaged 247.2 passing yards per game against UCF, completing 66.2% of their throws. On the ground, UCF’s defense has faced the 36th fewest rushing attempts nationally, allowing 134 rushing yards per game.