Kentucky Wildcats vs Tennessee Volunteers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/2/24
SECN will be covering the week 10 matchup between the Kentucky Wildcats and Tennessee Volunteers, set for 7:45 ET at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville. Tennessee enters the game with a 6-1 record, while Kentucky is 3-5 on the season. The Vols are favored by -16.5 points, with the over/under line currently at 45.5 points.
KENTUCKY WILDCATS VS TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kentucky Wildcats +16.5
This game will be played at Neyland Stadium at 7:45 ET on Saturday, November 2nd.
WHY BET THE KENTUCKY WILDCATS:
- We have the Tennessee Volunteers winning this one by a score of 29 to 20
- Even though we like the Tennessee Volunteers to win, our ATS pick is to take the Kentucky Wildcats at +16.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 45.5 points
Will The Kentucky Wildcats Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Kentucky enters Week 10 with a 3-5 record, facing Tennessee. They rank 50th in our power rankings and have just a 5.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, they are 2-4, while their road record stands at 1-1.
The Wildcats have been favored in six of their eight games but have gone 2-4 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin this season is -0.8 points, and they are 4-4 against the spread.
Kentucky’s over/under record is 2-6, with their games averaging 39 points. Their average over/under line has been 45.1 points, and this week’s line is set at 45.5 points.
Heading into week 10, Kentucky’s offense is averaging 19.1 points per game, ranking 90th in the nation. They are 78th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has struggled, averaging 166.1 yards per game, and they are 127th in passer rating. They convert 38.8% of third downs.
Quarterback Brock Vandagriff has 1,236 passing yards with six touchdowns and five interceptions. Kentucky is 29th in rushing attempts, averaging 143.2 yards per game. Demie Sumo-Karngbaye leads the team with 419 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Receiver Dane Key has 587 yards and two touchdowns.
Kentucky’s defense, ranked 29th nationally, is allowing 19.9 points per game this season. In their recent game against Auburn, they gave up 24 points, allowing 500 total yards, including 328 rushing yards. Auburn also recorded 27 first downs, while Kentucky managed to force one interception.
Opponents have averaged 133.5 rushing yards per game against Kentucky, with 32.4 rushing attempts per game. Through the air, Kentucky’s defense has allowed 178 passing yards per game, ranking 26th nationally, and quarterbacks have completed 65.8% of their passes with a passer rating of 84.6.
Are The Tennessee Volunteers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
At 6-1, Tennessee is a lock for bowl eligibility, and they have an 18.5% chance of winning the Southeastern. They also hold the 8th best odds to make the CFB playoff at 68%. The Volunteers are 2-0 at home this season and rank 6th in our power rankings heading into their Week 10 matchup against Kentucky.
Tennessee has a +28 average scoring margin and a 4-1 record against the spread. They’ve been favored in four games, going 3-1 ATS as the favorite. At home, they are 2-0 against the spread this season.
The Volunteers’ over/under record is 2-3, with their games averaging 51.1 points. Their average over/under line is 58.1, and this week’s line is set at 45.5 points.
Heading into week 10, Tennessee’s offense ranks 12th in points per game, averaging 39.6. They are 13th in rushing, with 244.4 yards per game on 44.9 attempts. Dylan Sampson leads the ground attack with 838 yards and 17 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry.
Quarterback Nico Iamaleava has thrown for 1,413 yards, with Tennessee ranking 86th in passing yards. Iamaleava has eight touchdowns and four interceptions, with a passer rating of 95. Tennessee is 30th in third-down conversions, converting 44.4% of their attempts.
Heading into their matchup with Kentucky, Tennessee’s defense ranks first in the nation, allowing just 11.6 points per game. They also rank eighth in rushing yards allowed, giving up only 88.6 yards per game on the ground, and 29th in passing yards allowed, at 180 yards per game.
In their recent game against Alabama, Tennessee’s defense allowed 17 points but gave up 486 total yards, including 271 rushing yards. They did not allow a passing touchdown, despite giving up 215 yards through the air.