Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Sam Houston Bearkats Betting Pick & Prediction 10/29/24
Sam Houston is the heavy favorite in this week 10 matchup against Louisiana Tech, set to kick off at 8:00 ET from Elliot T. Bowers Stadium in Huntsville. The game can be seen on ESNU, and the over/under line is currently at 45.5 points. The Bearkats come in with a 6-2 record, while the Bulldogs are 3-4 on the season. The money line odds have Sam Houston at -412 and Louisiana Tech at +315.
LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS VS SAM HOUSTON BEARKATS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +10.5
This game will be played at Elliot T. Bowers Stadium at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, October 29th.
WHY BET THE LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS:
- We have the Sam Houston Bearkats winning this one by a score of 23 to 21
- Even though we like the Sam Houston Bearkats to win, our ATS pick is to take the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at +10.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 45.5 points
Will The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Louisiana Tech enters Week 10 against Sam Houston with a 3-4 record. They are 2-0 at home but have struggled on the road, going 0-2. Currently ranked 118th in our power rankings, the Bulldogs have a 14.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible for the rest of the season.
So far, Louisiana Tech has been favored in three of their seven games, and their average scoring margin is +2.3 points per game. Against the spread, they are 2-2, with a 1-1 record at home and on the road.
The over/under line for this week is 45.5 points. Louisiana Tech’s games have averaged an over/under line of 50.1 points, and their over/under record is 2-2, with their games averaging 45.4 points per contest.
Louisiana Tech’s offense has been driven by their passing game, ranking 43rd in completions and averaging 254.7 yards per game. They are 31st in third-down conversions, converting 44% of their attempts. Overall, they are 70th in scoring, with 23.9 points per game, and we have them ranked 124th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10.
Evan Bullock leads the Bulldogs with 1,038 passing yards and a 66.2% completion rate. He has thrown nine touchdowns without an interception, giving him a passer rating of 109. Tru Edwards is the top receiver, with 486 yards and four touchdowns on 38 catches. Louisiana Tech’s rushing game has struggled, averaging just 98.1 yards per game.
Louisiana Tech’s defense played a crucial role in their recent 14-10 win over UTEP, allowing just 10 points. They gave up 251 total yards, including 166 rushing yards on 47 attempts and 85 passing yards, while forcing UTEP to complete only 9 of 16 passes.
For the season, Louisiana Tech ranks 23rd nationally, allowing 21.6 points per game. They are 31st in rushing defense, giving up 114.9 yards per game, and 46th in passing yards allowed, at 194 yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 56.8% of their passes against Louisiana Tech’s defense.
Are The Sam Houston Bearkats Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Sam Houston enters Week 10 with a 6-2 record, ranked 93rd in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible but only a 13.3% chance of winning Conference USA. So far, they are 3-1 at home and 3-1 on the road this season.
Against the spread, Sam Houston is 5-3, with a +4.2 average scoring margin. They’ve gone 3-1 ATS at home and 2-2 on the road. As the favorite, they are 3-2 ATS, and as the underdog, they’ve covered in two out of three games.
Their over/under record is 3-5, with an average line of 50.5 points. This week’s line is set at 45.5 points. Sam Houston’s games have averaged 49.5 points, just one point below the typical over/under line.
Sam Houston’s offense has leaned heavily on their rushing attack, ranking 3rd nationally in rushing attempts per game, with 44.6 carries, and averaging 210.9 rushing yards per game, placing them 16th in the country. DJ McKinney leads the team with 422 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns.
Overall, Sam Houston is averaging 26.9 points per game, ranking 58th in scoring, and they are 85th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10. Quarterback Hunter Watson has thrown for 987 yards, with nine touchdowns and five interceptions, and the team ranks 115th in passing yards per game.
Sam Houston’s defense shined in their recent 10-7 win over Florida International, allowing just 7 points and 200 total yards. They held FIU to 74 passing yards and 126 rushing yards on 36 attempts, while also forcing an interception.
On the season, the Bearkats rank 48th nationally, giving up 22.6 points per game. They’ve allowed 201 passing yards per game and 128.9 rushing yards per game, ranking 50th in the country against the run.