Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Navy Midshipmen Betting Pick & Prediction 10/26/24

ABC will be covering this week nine non-conference matchup between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Navy Midshipmen, with kick-off set for 12:00 ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. Notre Dame comes in with a 6-1 record, and Navy is also undefeated at 6-0. Notre Dame is the heavy favorite at -11.5 points, and the over/under line is currently 52 points. The money line odds are -461 for Notre Dame and +347 for Navy.

NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH VS NAVY MIDSHIPMEN BETTING PICK

The Pick: Navy Midshipmen +11.5

This game will be played at MetLife Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, October 26th.

WHY BET THE NAVY MIDSHIPMEN:

• We have the Notre Dame Fighting Irish winning this one by a score of 31 to 21
• Even though we like the Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win, our ATS pick is to take the Navy Midshipmen at +11.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 52 points

Will The Notre Dame Fighting Irish Take Care Of Business As The Favorite?

Notre Dame enters Week 9 against Navy with a 6-1 record, ranked 7th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 55.6% chance of making the playoff, according to our projections.

The Fighting Irish are 3-0 on the road and 3-1 at home this season. They’ve been favored in six of their seven games, going 5-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +22.7 points, and they’ve covered the spread in five of seven games (5-2 ATS).

This week’s over/under line is 52 points. Notre Dame’s games have averaged an over/under line of 46.4 points, with their over/under record at 3-4 for the season.

Notre Dame’s offense is averaging 34.6 points per game heading into week 9, placing them 24th in the nation. They rank 32nd in our offensive power rankings. The team’s strength has been their running game, with 210.6 rushing yards per game, ranking 18th nationally. Leading the ground attack is Jeremiyah Love, who has 462 rushing yards, seven touchdowns, and averages 6 yards per carry.

Quarterback Riley Leonard has thrown for 1,182 yards, and Notre Dame ranks 97th in passing yards per game. Leonard has six touchdown passes and three interceptions, with a passer rating of 89. The team is converting 37.2% of their third-down attempts. Beaux Collins leads the receivers with 317 yards and one touchdown.

Notre Dame’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 5th in the nation by allowing just 11.9 points per game. They’ve also limited opponents to 165.9 passing yards per game, which ranks 18th, and quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of only 59.9, the 7th-lowest in the country.

In their recent game against Georgia Tech, Notre Dame gave up just 13 points and held the Yellow Jackets to 80 rushing yards on 28 carries. Georgia Tech threw the ball 36 times, completing 20 passes for 269 yards, but Notre Dame’s defense also came away with two interceptions.

Will Home Field Advantage Help The Navy Midshipmen Upset The Notre Dame Fighting Irish?

Navy heads into Week 9 against Notre Dame with a perfect 6-0 record, and they are projected to be bowl-eligible. They have an 11.5% chance of winning the American Athletic Conference, according to our projections.

The Midshipmen have gone 4-0 as favorites this season, and they are 5-0 against the spread. Their average scoring margin is +25.2 points per game.

Navy’s over/under record is 5-0, with their games averaging 64.5 points. This week’s line is 52 points, compared to their average line of 48.1 points.

Navy’s offense has been impressive this season, ranking 4th in points per game with 44.8 and 6th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack is strong, averaging 275.7 yards per game on 45.3 attempts.

Quarterback Blake Horvath has thrown for 888 yards, completing 63.9% of his passes with 10 touchdowns and just one interception, giving him a passer rating of 140. Navy ranks 2nd nationally in passer rating.

Navy’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 14th nationally by allowing just 19.7 points per game. In their recent game against Charlotte, they gave up 17 points but forced four interceptions. Charlotte managed 363 total yards, including 200 rushing yards on 48 attempts, but Navy held them without a rushing touchdown.

Opponents have averaged 166.7 rushing yards per game against Navy, ranking 120th nationally. Through the air, Navy has allowed 224.7 passing yards per game, with a 55.4% completion rate, which is the 23rd lowest in the country.