New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 10/18/24
The Yankees and Guardians face off in an AL matchup at 8:08 PM ET at Progressive Field in Cleveland. The forecast for the game is 63 degrees and clear skies. New York is 94-68 and they are 1st in the AL East, while the Guardians are 92-69 and they are 1st in the AL Central.
New York is starting Luis Gil, while the Guardians have Gavin Williams on the mound. The money line odds have the Yankees as the slight favorite, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs. Cleveland comes into the game on a two-game losing streak.
NEW YORK YANKEES VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -123
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 8:08 ET on Friday, October 18th.
HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Yankees winning by a score of 4 to 3
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 7 runs and like the under
Cleveland picked up a 7-5 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a three-run lead going into the 8th inning, and the Yankees could only muster two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were at -107 on the money line.
Matthew Boyd got the start for the Guardians, going just five innings while giving up one run and striking out four. Pedro Avila got the win out of the bullpen, and Emmanuel Clase got the save. Clarke Schmidt only went 4 2/3 innings for the Yankees, giving up two earned runs on five hits.
Kyle Manzardo and David Fry each homered for the Guardians, while Jhonkensy Noel scored three times and drove in two runs while going 1/1. Aaron Judge hit a home run for the Yankees, going 1/5.
Yankees Records & Stats
As the Yankees prepare for game four against Cleveland, they hold a 2-1 series lead and will be on the road. New York finished the regular season with a 94-68 record, going 44-37 at home and 50-31 on the road. As favorites, they went 81-62, while posting an 18-8 record as underdogs.
New York’s run line record for the season is 87-82, with a 50-34 mark against the run line on the road. Their average run margin is +0.9 per game. The Yankees’ over/under record is 89-75, and 66.7% of their games had higher totals than today’s 8-run line. The over has hit in their last two games.
New York is sending right-hander Luis Gil to the mound today vs. the Guardians. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 15-7 with a 3.50 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Gil has a WHIP of 1.19 and has issued 4.57 walks per nine innings compared to 10.15 strikeouts. Gil’s ERA at home is 6.11, compared to 3.84 on the road. He has allowed 18 homers this season. Gil’s last outing came on September 28th, where he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 1st in the league in runs scored. Overall, they are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. Aaron Judge has been a big part of their offense, as he leads the league with 58 home runs and is also 1st in the league with 144 RBIs. Judge is also hitting an impressive .322 for the season.
Right fielder Juan Soto is also having a good season at the plate, as he is batting .288 and is 5th in the league with 109 RBIs. Giancarlo Stanton has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/18 with three homers in his last five games.
Guardians Records & Stats
Facing a must-win game four against the Yankees, Cleveland looks to avoid falling behind 3-1 in the series. The Guardians posted a 92-69 regular season record, including a 50-30 mark at home and 42-39 on the road. They’ve lost two straight games but have won their last two at home.
Cleveland’s run line record is 85-84, with a 42-42 mark at home. They’ve also covered the run line in their last two home games. The Guardians’ over/under record stands at 72-85, and the over has hit in their last two games.
Gavin Williams gets the start for the Guardians today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Dodgers on September 7th, where he gave up five earned runs in two-thirds of an inning of work. In his most recent outing, Williams finished with a no-decision, going 5 2/3 innings vs. the Cardinals and giving up one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Williams has made 16 starts and has a record of 3-10. His ERA for the season is 4.86, along with a WHIP of 1.37. Opposing batters are hitting .242 off Williams this season. Out of his 16 starts, Williams has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 9.36 strikeouts per nine innings.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 39 home runs are 5th in the league, and Naylor’s 31 homers are 13th in the MLB. Ramirez also comes into the game with the 3rd most RBIs in the league (118), while Naylor is 6th in the league with 108 RBIs. Over his last five games, David Fry is 4/12 with two homers and five RBIs.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are batting a combined .238. This is 14th in the league and below their season-long average. Cleveland has been better at home this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in the league.