New York Jets vs Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/20/24

The Jets are favored on the road with a money line of -118 as they face the Steelers at 8:20 ET on Sunday, October 20th. The game, being played at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, is being televised by NBC. The Jets have a point spread of -1.5, and the over/under line is 36.5. The Steelers’ money line is -102.

NEW YORK JETS VS PITTSBURGH STEELERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Jets -1.5

This game will be played at Acrisure Stadium at 8:20 ET on Sunday, October 20th.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK JETS:

  • We have the Jets winning this one by a score of 20 to 14
  • Not only do we have the Jets winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 36.5 points

Will The Jets Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Heading into week 7, the Jets are looking to snap a three-game losing streak that includes a 23-20 home loss to the Bills in week 6. This dropped New York’s record to 2-4, putting them 3rd in the AFC East. Our power rankings have the Jets 11th, and they have a 46.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 12.6% chance of winning the division.

Against the spread, the Jets are 2-4 and have failed to cover in three straight games. They were 1-point underdogs against the Bills in week 6 but couldn’t get the win. Their O/U record is 2-3-1, with their games averaging 36.8 points per game.

Heading into week 7, the Jets rank 24th in our offensive power rankings. They are 20th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.8, and 22nd in yards per game with 304.3. New York has been pass-heavy, ranking 3rd in passing attempts per game, but they are 16th in passing yards. On the ground, they rank 25th in rushing attempts and 30th in rushing yards per game. The Jets are 11th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 10th in red zone conversions, with a 41.2% success rate.

Aaron Rodgers threw for 294 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 6, completing 23 of 35 passes, with 1 interception. Breece Hall rushed for 113 yards on 18 carries, and Allen Lazard had 6 catches for 114 yards and a touchdown. The Jets scored 20 points against the Bills, with 10 coming in the 1st quarter, but they were shut out in the 4th. They converted 4 of 12 3rd-down attempts and scored on 1 of 4 red zone trips.

In their 23-20 loss to the Bills, the Jets’ defense allowed Buffalo to convert on 45.5% of their third down attempts. The Jets gave up 149 rushing yards on 33 attempts, with Buffalo finishing at 4.5 yards per attempt on the ground. Overall, the Jets allowed 359 total yards in the game.

New York’s defense gave up 210 passing yards to the Bills, with Buffalo completing 76% of their passes. The Jets managed two sacks in the game but lost the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials to Buffalo. Additionally, the Bills finished with two passing touchdowns against the Jets.

Will The Steelers Win At Home Over The Jets?

After back-to-back losses, the Steelers got back on track in week 6, defeating the Raiders 32-13 to improve to 4-2. Pittsburgh was a 3.5-point favorite and covered the spread with ease, winning by 19 points. The combined scoring of 45 points went over the 37-point line. Before this, the Steelers had dropped two straight, including a 20-17 home loss to the Cowboys in week 5.

Heading into week 7, our projections give the Steelers a 70.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 23.3% chance of winning the AFC North. They are 16th in our NFL power rankings and 5th in the AFC standings. Against the spread, Pittsburgh is 4-2, with an average scoring margin of +6.3 points per game.

Heading into week 7, the Steelers rank 18th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 20.7 points per game, which is also 18th in the NFL. They lean heavily on the run game, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 9th in rushing yards per game (131.5). On the other hand, they are 27th in passing attempts and 28th in passing yards, averaging 166.8 per game. Pittsburgh ranks 17th in 3rd-down conversions and 12th in red zone efficiency, with a 38.9% conversion rate.

In week 6, the Steelers scored 32 points against the Raiders, with 10 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters. Justin Fields threw for 145 yards on 14/24 passing, while Najee Harris rushed for 106 yards on 14 carries. George Pickens led the team with 53 receiving yards on 3 catches.

The Steelers’ defense was tough to run against in their 32-13 win over the Raiders, as Las Vegas managed just 57 yards on 19 rushing attempts. Pittsburgh’s defense also excelled on third downs, allowing the Raiders to convert just 18.2% of their third down attempts. They gave up a total of 218 passing yards, and one touchdown through the air, and their lone interception came while defending the pass.

Despite allowing 27 completions, the Steelers held the Raiders to 67.5% completion percentage. They also recorded one sack and forced Las Vegas into negative plays, winning the tackles for loss battle.