Carolina Panthers vs Washington Commanders Betting Pick & Prediction 10/20/24

The Panthers and Commanders will face off on Sunday, October 20th at 4:05 ET on CBS. The Commanders are the heavy favorite with a money line of -370, and they are -7.5 point favorites in this week seven matchup. The game, being played at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD, features an over/under line of 52 points.

CAROLINA PANTHERS VS WASHINGTON COMMANDERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Carolina Panthers +7.5

This game will be played at Northwest Stadium at 4:05 ET on Sunday, October 20th.

WHY BET THE CAROLINA PANTHERS:

  • We have the Commanders winning this one by a score of 28 to 21
  • Even though we like the Commanders to win, our ATS pick is to take the Panthers at +7.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 52 points

Will The Panthers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Carolina’s 38-20 loss to the Falcons in week 6 extended their losing streak to three games, dropping them to 1-5 on the season. The Panthers’ only win came in week 3, when they defeated the Raiders 36-22, but they couldn’t build on that victory, falling to the Bears and Bengals before their week 6 loss. Carolina is now 0-3 at home and 1-2 on the road, with their lone win coming away from home.

Our analytics give the Panthers just a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 0.1% chance of winning the NFC South. They rank 30th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 7. Carolina is 1-5 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of -16.7 points per game. The over has hit in each of their last four games, including week 6, when the Panthers and Falcons combined for 58 points, easily surpassing the 46-point line.

Heading into week 7, the Panthers rank 26th in our offensive power rankings. They are 25th in the NFL in both points per game (17.2) and total yards per game (298.5). Despite being 8th in passing attempts, they are 23rd in passing yards per game with 187.2. On the ground, Carolina ranks 22nd in rushing yards per game, averaging 111.3 yards on 23.5 attempts per game.

In week 6, Andy Dalton threw for 221 yards, completing 26 of 38 passes with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Chuba Hubbard led the rushing attack with 92 yards on 18 carries, while Diontae Johnson had 6 receptions for 78 yards and a touchdown. Carolina scored 10 points in the 2nd quarter but was shut out in the 4th quarter against Atlanta.

In their 38-20 loss to the Falcons, the Panthers’ defense allowed 423 total yards. They struggled to stop the run, giving up 198 rushing yards on 38 attempts. Despite this, they did manage to hold the Falcons to 225 passing yards and a 63.3% completion percentage. However, the Panthers failed to record any sacks and allowed Atlanta to convert on 50% of their third down attempts.

The Panthers’ defense gave up one touchdown through the air and allowed the Falcons to gain 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Additionally, Carolina’s defense had a -4 tackles for loss differential in the game.

Are The Commanders Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Heading into week 7, the Commanders sit atop the NFC East with a 4-2 record, giving them a 64.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 45.4% chance of winning the division. Washington ranks 12th in our NFL power rankings. After winning three straight games, including a 21-point victory over the Browns in week 5, the Commanders fell to the Ravens in week 6, bringing their record to 4-2. They were 7-point underdogs in that game, and the 53 combined points were enough to hit the over (50.5).

Washington is 4-1-1 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +5.5 points per game. Their O/U record stands at 5-1, with the over hitting in four straight games. Commanders games have averaged 53.8 points per game, compared to an average O/U line of 45.6.

Heading into week 7, the Commanders sit atop our offensive power rankings. They are 2nd in the NFL in points per game (29.7) and 5th in yards per game (378). Despite ranking 25th in passing attempts, Washington is 13th in passing yards, averaging 220.7 per game. Jayden Daniels threw for 269 yards (24/35) and 2 touchdowns in week 6, posting a passer rating of 110.

On the ground, Washington is 6th in rushing attempts and 5th in rushing yards per game (157.3). Daniels led the team with 22 rushing yards in week 6. Brian Robinson Jr. is questionable for week 7 with a knee injury; he has 325 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns this season.

In their most recent game, Washington’s defense gave up 484 yards in a 30-23 loss to the Ravens. The Commanders allowed 176 rushing yards on 37 attempts and struggled against the pass, giving up 308 yards through the air. Opposing quarterbacks completed 76.9% of their passes against Washington, and the Commanders allowed the Ravens to convert on 60% of their third down attempts.

Despite their struggles, Washington’s defense did come up with one interception and two sacks in the game.