Houston Texans vs Green Bay Packers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/20/24

The Texans are +127 on the money line as they face the Packers at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 20th at Lambeau Field in Green Bay. The Packers are favored at -151 on the money line, and the point spread is -3 in favor of the Packers. The over/under line is at 47.5 points for this non-conference matchup, which is being televised on CBS.

HOUSTON TEXANS VS GREEN BAY PACKERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Green Bay Packers -3

This game will be played at Lambeau Field at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 20th.

WHY BET THE GREEN BAY PACKERS:

• We have the Packers winning this one by a score of 26 to 19
• Not only do we have the Packers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -3
• We see this game finishing below the line of 47.5 points

Will The Texans Pick Up A Win On The Road?

With a 5-1 record, the Texans sit atop the AFC South and rank 2nd in the conference. They have a 93.2% chance of making the playoffs and an 83.1% chance of winning the division. Houston is 3-0 at home and 2-1 on the road, including a 20-point win over the Patriots in week 6. This was their third straight win, following victories over the Bills and Jaguars.

Houston is 9th in our power rankings and has been favored in all of their games so far. They are 2-4 against the spread, but have covered in two straight games. Their O/U record is also 2-4, with their games averaging 46.3 points.

Heading into week 7, the Texans are 13th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 12th in the NFL in points per game with 23.8 and 6th in yards per game, averaging 375.2. Houston leans heavily on the passing game, ranking 4th in attempts and 5th in passing yards per game (256.3). On the ground, they are 17th in rushing attempts and 14th in rushing yards per game, averaging 118.8.

C.J. Stroud threw for 192 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 6, completing 20 of 31 passes. Joe Mixon led the team with 102 rushing yards on 13 carries, while Stefon Diggs had 6 catches for 77 yards. Houston scored 14 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters against the Patriots.

Despite giving up 3 passing touchdowns, the Texans’ defense came up with two interceptions and held the Patriots to 209 passing yards in their 41-21 win over the Patriots. Houston’s defense also forced New England to a 23.1% third down conversion rate. They defended the run well, allowing just 82 yards on 26 attempts.

In the passing game, the Texans limited the Patriots to a 60.6% completion rate. They also recorded four sacks and had more QB hits and tackles for loss than the Patriots.

Will The Packers Win At Home Over The Texans?

Heading into week 7 against the Texans, the Packers have won two straight, including a 34-13 victory over the Cardinals in week 6. This puts Green Bay at 4-2, which gives them a 65.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 14.8% chance of winning the NFC North. They currently rank 6th in our NFL power rankings.

Green Bay is 4-2 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +6.8. They have covered in two straight games, including a 21-point win over Arizona as 5.5-point favorites. The O/U record in their games is 3-2-1, with their matchups averaging 47.2 points per game.

Heading into week 7, the Packers sit 9th in our offensive power rankings. They are 7th in the NFL in points per game (27) and 4th in yards per game (400). Green Bay has leaned on the run game, ranking 3rd in rushing attempts and 2nd in rushing yards per game (167.2). Jordan Love threw for 258 yards and 4 touchdowns in week 6, posting a passer rating of 119.

On 3rd down, the Packers rank 14th in the NFL, converting 40.5% of their attempts. They are 21st in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 5th in attempts. Green Bay has been strong early in games, averaging 7.8 points in the 1st quarter, which ranks 3rd in the league.

Green Bay’s defense played well in their most recent game, giving up just 214 passing yards to the Cardinals. They held Arizona to 68.8% completions and only one passing touchdown. The Packers’ defense also limited the Cardinals to 89 rushing yards on 23 attempts, with a few key contributors missing from their defensive unit. However, they didn’t record any sacks in the game.

Despite not generating much pressure on the quarterback, the Packers’ defense did well on third downs, allowing the Cardinals to convert just 40% of their third down attempts. Overall, they held Arizona to 13 points, helping the Packers secure a 34-13 victory.