NC State Wolfpack vs California Golden Bears Betting Pick & Prediction 10/19/24

ACCN is set to televise the week eight matchup between the NC State Wolfpack and California Golden Bears, scheduled for 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 19th, at California Memorial Stadium in Berkeley. The over/under line is currently 46.5 points, with the Golden Bears favored by -10. Both teams enter the game with a 3-3 record for the season. The money line odds are -376 for California and +289 for NC State.

NC STATE WOLFPACK VS CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: NC State Wolfpack +10

This game will be played at California Memorial Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 19th.

WHY BET THE NC STATE WOLFPACK:

• We have the California Golden Bears winning this one by a score of 27 to 20
• Even though we like the California Golden Bears to win, our ATS pick is to take the NC State Wolfpack at +10
• Look for this game to go over the line of 46.5 points

Will The NC State Wolfpack Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

NC State enters Week 8 with a 3-4 record, ranked 85th in our power rankings. They have a 22.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible for the rest of the season. On the road, they are 0-1, while their home record stands at 2-3.

The Wolfpack have been favored in three of their seven games, going 2-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -6 points per game, and they are 0-6 against the spread this season.

NC State’s over/under record is 4-2, with their games averaging 58.6 points. The average over/under line is 50.3 points, and this week’s line is set at 46.5 points.

NC State’s offense is averaging 26.3 points per game, placing them 58th in the nation heading into week 8. In our offensive power rankings, they are 122nd. CJ Bailey has thrown for 1,069 yards, completing 66.4% of his passes. The Wolfpack ranks 21st in passing attempts and 16th in completions, averaging 234.3 passing yards per game.

Bailey has six touchdown passes and four interceptions, with a passer rating of 93. NC State is converting 36.2% of their third downs. Kendrick Raphael leads the rushing attack with 281 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Kevin Concepcion has 311 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 39 catches.

NC State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 32.3 points per game. In their latest game, a 24-17 loss to Syracuse, they gave up 24 points and 425 total yards, including 346 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 235.1 passing yards per game against NC State, completing 59.7% of their passes. On the ground, the Wolfpack have allowed 151.3 rushing yards per game on 30.9 attempts per game.

Are The California Golden Bears Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

California enters Week 8 with a 3-3 record, and they have a 92.8% chance of being bowl-eligible. At home, they are 1-1, while they’ve gone 1-2 on the road. The Golden Bears have been favored in just one game this season, but they’ve managed a +6.3 average scoring margin.

Against the spread, California is 4-1, going 2-0 at home. They’ve covered as the favorite (1-0) and have a 3-1 record ATS as the underdog.

Their over/under record is 1-4, with their games averaging 42 points. This week’s line is 46.5, compared to an average line of 51.4 for the season.

California’s offense is averaging 24.2 points per game, placing them 66th nationally heading into week 8. They are ranked 65th in our offensive power rankings. The Golden Bears are 78th in third-down conversion rate, converting just 36.4% of their attempts.

Quarterback Fernando Mendoza has thrown for 1,449 yards and has a passer rating of 98. California ranks 40th in both rushing and passing attempts per game, averaging 120.7 rushing yards per game. Jaivian Thomas leads the team with 359 rushing yards. Nyziah Hunter has four receiving touchdowns and 200 yards on 17 catches.

California’s defense has been a bright spot this season, ranking 19th nationally by allowing just 17.8 points per game. In their recent matchup against Pittsburgh, they gave up 17 points but also forced two interceptions. The defense allowed 278 total yards, including 145 rushing yards and 133 passing yards.

Opponents are averaging 121.8 rushing yards per game on 30.8 attempts against Cal, while quarterbacks have posted a passer rating of just 55.6, the 7th-lowest in the country. Cal’s defense has held opposing QBs to a 54% completion rate and 216.5 passing yards per game.