Georgia Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns Betting Pick & Prediction 10/19/24

Georgia and Texas are set to face off in a week eight matchup, with the game scheduled for 7:30 ET at Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin. The game will be broadcast on ABC, and the Longhorns are the -3.5 point favorites at home. The over/under line is currently at 56.5 points. Georgia comes in with a 5-1 record, while Texas is undefeated at 6-0.
GEORGIA BULLDOGS VS TEXAS LONGHORNS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Georgia Bulldogs +3.5
This game will be played at Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium at 7:30 ET on Saturday, October 19th.
WHY BET THE GEORGIA BULLDOGS:
- We have the Georgia Bulldogs winning this one by a score of 31 to 22
- Not only do we have the Georgia Bulldogs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 56.5 points
Will The Georgia Bulldogs Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Georgia enters Week 8 with a 5-1 record, ranked 4th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 5% chance to win the Southeastern. However, they hold the 6th best odds to make the CFB playoff at 69.5%.
The Bulldogs are 3-0 at home and 1-1 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in five of six games and have a +16.3 average scoring margin, but their ATS record stands at 1-4.
This week’s over/under line is 56.5 points. Georgia’s games have averaged 50.7 points, and their average over/under line is 49.7 points, with a +0.9 margin against the spread.
Heading into week 8, Georgia’s offense is averaging 33.5 points per game, ranking 28th nationally. However, they are 11th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is the focal point, averaging 318 yards per game, which is 10th in the country. They are 11th in completions, with 25.3 per game, and 18th in attempts, averaging 36.8. Their completion rate is 68.8%, ranking 13th.
Carson Beck leads the Bulldogs with 1,818 passing yards and a 67.9% completion rate. He has thrown 15 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, with a passer rating of 108. Georgia ranks 22nd in passer rating nationally. On the ground, they average 135.3 rushing yards per game, ranking 91st. Trevor Etienne leads the rushing attack with 335 yards and 4 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Arian Smith has 412 receiving yards and three touchdowns.
Georgia’s defense will look to bounce back after allowing 31 points in their last game, a 41-31 win over Mississippi State. They gave up 385 total yards, including 306 passing yards, though they did hold Mississippi State to just 79 rushing yards on 26 attempts and forced one interception.
On the season, Georgia ranks 16th nationally, allowing 17.2 points per game. Opponents have averaged 121 rushing yards per game on 32.3 attempts, while quarterbacks have posted a 62% completion rate and 192.3 passing yards per game against Georgia’s defense.
Are The Texas Longhorns Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
At 6-0, Texas is ranked first in our CFB power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 60.9% chance of winning the Southeastern. The Longhorns also have a 95.8% chance of making the CFB playoff, according to our projections.
Texas has been favored in all six games this season and holds a 5-1 record against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +36.8 points per game.
Their over/under record is 3-3, with Texas games averaging 49.5 points. This week’s line is 56.5 points, compared to their season average of 53.5 points.
Texas enters week 8 with the 7th-best offense in our power rankings, averaging 43.2 points per game, which also ranks 7th nationally. They are 12th in passing yards, with 306.5 per game, and 23rd in completions, averaging 22.7 per game. Their completion rate is 70.8%, and they are 14th in third-down conversions, converting 49.3% of their attempts.
Arch Manning leads the team with 900 passing yards, 9 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions, boasting a passer rating of 136. Quintrevion Wisner is the top rusher with 278 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Isaiah Bond leads the receiving corps with 369 yards and 3 touchdowns on 21 catches.
Texas’ defense has been outstanding this season, ranking first in the nation by allowing just 6.3 points per game. In their latest game, a 34-3 win over Oklahoma, they gave up only a field goal, holding the Sooners to 248 total yards, including 100 rushing yards on 40 attempts and 148 passing yards.
Opponents are averaging 106.2 rushing yards per game against Texas, while quarterbacks have managed just 125.7 passing yards per game, the fourth-lowest in the country. Texas’ defense has also held opposing QBs to a passer rating of 53.9, the fifth-lowest nationally.